NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →

Championship · Regular Season - 11

Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Carrow Road, Norwich

Norwich crestNorwichTeam 1977
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Portsmouth crestPortsmouthTeam 1806

Match story

Norwich · draw · Portsmouth

Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 20%

Live chances: Norwich 0%, draw 4%, Portsmouth 96% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Norwich 57%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%2' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%3' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%4' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%5' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%6' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 20%7' · 0–0 · Norwich 56%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%8' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%9' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%10' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%11' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%12' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%13' · 0–0 · Norwich 55%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 20%14' · 0–0 · Norwich 54%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 20%16' · 0–0 · Norwich 54%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 20%17' · 0–0 · Norwich 54%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 20%18' · 0–0 · Norwich 53%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 20%19' · 0–0 · Norwich 53%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 20%20' · 0–0 · Norwich 53%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 20%21' · 0–0 · Norwich 53%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 20%22' · 0–0 · Norwich 53%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 20%23' · 0–0 · Norwich 52%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 20%24' · 0–0 · Norwich 52%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 20%25' · 0–0 · Norwich 52%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 20%26' · 0–0 · Norwich 52%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 20%27' · 0–0 · Norwich 52%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 21%28' · 0–0 · Norwich 51%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 21%29' · 0–0 · Norwich 51%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 21%31' · 0–0 · Norwich 51%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 21%32' · 0–0 · Norwich 50%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 21%33' · 0–0 · Norwich 50%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 21%34' · 0–0 · Norwich 50%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 21%35' · 0–0 · Norwich 50%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 21%36' · 0–0 · Norwich 49%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 21%37' · 0–0 · Norwich 49%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 21%38' · 0–0 · Norwich 49%, draw 31%, Portsmouth 21%39' · 0–0 · Norwich 48%, draw 31%, Portsmouth 21%40' · 0–0 · Norwich 48%, draw 31%, Portsmouth 21%41' · 0–0 · Norwich 48%, draw 31%, Portsmouth 21%42' · 0–0 · Norwich 48%, draw 32%, Portsmouth 21%43' · 0–0 · Norwich 47%, draw 32%, Portsmouth 21%45' · 0–0 · Norwich 47%, draw 33%, Portsmouth 21%45+1' · 0–0 · Norwich 46%, draw 33%, Portsmouth 21%45+2' · 0–0 · Norwich 46%, draw 33%, Portsmouth 21%45+3' · 0–0 · Norwich 46%, draw 34%, Portsmouth 21%45+4' · 0–0 · Norwich 45%, draw 34%, Portsmouth 21%HT · 0–0 · Norwich 45%, draw 34%, Portsmouth 21%46' · 0–0 · Norwich 45%, draw 34%, Portsmouth 21%47' · 0–0 · Norwich 45%, draw 34%, Portsmouth 21%48' · 0–0 · Norwich 45%, draw 35%, Portsmouth 21%49' · 0–0 · Norwich 44%, draw 35%, Portsmouth 21%50' · 0–0 · Norwich 44%, draw 36%, Portsmouth 21%51' · 0–1 · Norwich 21%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 49%52' · 0–1 · Norwich 21%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 50%53' · 0–1 · Norwich 20%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 50%54' · 0–1 · Norwich 19%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 51%55' · 0–1 · Norwich 19%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 52%56' · 0–1 · Norwich 18%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 52%57' · 0–1 · Norwich 18%, draw 30%, Portsmouth 53%58' · 0–1 · Norwich 17%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 54%59' · 0–1 · Norwich 16%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 54%60' · 0–1 · Norwich 16%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 55%61' · 0–1 · Norwich 15%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 55%62' · 0–1 · Norwich 15%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 56%63' · 0–1 · Norwich 14%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 57%64' · 0–1 · Norwich 14%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 57%65' · 0–1 · Norwich 13%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 58%66' · 0–1 · Norwich 13%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 59%67' · 0–1 · Norwich 12%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 59%68' · 0–1 · Norwich 12%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 60%69' · 0–1 · Norwich 11%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 61%70' · 0–1 · Norwich 10%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 62%71' · 0–1 · Norwich 10%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 63%72' · 0–1 · Norwich 9%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 63%73' · 0–1 · Norwich 9%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 64%74' · 0–1 · Norwich 8%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 65%75' · 0–1 · Norwich 8%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 66%76' · 0–1 · Norwich 7%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 67%77' · 0–1 · Norwich 7%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 68%78' · 0–1 · Norwich 6%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 69%79' · 0–1 · Norwich 6%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 70%80' · 0–1 · Norwich 5%, draw 23%, Portsmouth 71%81' · 0–1 · Norwich 5%, draw 23%, Portsmouth 72%82' · 0–1 · Norwich 4%, draw 22%, Portsmouth 74%83' · 0–1 · Norwich 4%, draw 21%, Portsmouth 75%84' · 0–1 · Norwich 3%, draw 20%, Portsmouth 76%85' · 0–1 · Norwich 3%, draw 19%, Portsmouth 78%86' · 0–1 · Norwich 3%, draw 18%, Portsmouth 79%87' · 0–1 · Norwich 2%, draw 17%, Portsmouth 80%88' · 0–1 · Norwich 2%, draw 16%, Portsmouth 82%89' · 0–1 · Norwich 2%, draw 15%, Portsmouth 84%90' · 0–1 · Norwich 1%, draw 13%, Portsmouth 86%90+1' · 0–1 · Norwich 1%, draw 12%, Portsmouth 87%90+2' · 0–1 · Norwich 1%, draw 10%, Portsmouth 90%90+3' · 0–1 · Norwich 0%, draw 8%, Portsmouth 92%90+4' · 0–1 · Norwich 0%, draw 6%, Portsmouth 94%90+5' · 0–1 · Norwich 0%, draw 4%, Portsmouth 96%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 4% · 96%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Norwich 57% to win: Portsmouth won.

  1. 45'Norwich:Darlin Yongwa 1989 −1 for Benjamin Chrisene 2055 −13
  2. 51'Portsmouth:Marko Milovanović 1736 +63 (pen.)
  3. 55'Portsmouth:Marko Milovanović 1736 +63
  4. 57'Norwich:Lucien Mahovo 1397 −8* for Andre Brooks 2024 −4
  5. 57'Norwich:Paris Maghoma 1979 −1 for Anis Ben Slimane 2046 −5
  6. 60'Portsmouth:Ebou Adams 1854 +20 for Iyad Mohamed 1650 +82
  7. 64'Portsmouth:Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 1629 +35
  8. 66'Norwich:Oscar Schwartau 2045 −7
  9. 70'Portsmouth:Odin Bailey 1891 +4 for Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 1629 +35
  10. 71'Portsmouth:Tyrese Shade 1822 +6 for Marko Milovanović 1736 +63
  11. 73'Norwich:Mathias Kvistgaarden 2028 −1 for Oscar Schwartau 2045 −7
  12. 80'Portsmouth:Terry Devlin 2025 +1 for Marlon Pack 1903 +48
  13. 90'Norwich:Mathias Kvistgaarden 2028 −1
  14. 90+3'Norwich:Darlin Yongwa 1989 −1

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
DJ. Stacey2001−7
DJ. Córdoba2087−13
DB. Chrisene2055−13
MP. Mattsson2074−12
MA. Brooks2024−4
MO. Schwartau2045−7
FJ. Makama19590
CP. Clement2048−17
GN. Schmid1956+18
DZ. Swanson1946+22
DR. Poole1963+52
DM. Dia1826+86
DJ. Meghoma1927+62
MM. Pack1903+48
MI. Mohamed1650+82
MA. Kamara1891+23
MA. Segecic1978+17
Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 20%(Norwich · draw · Portsmouth)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–1 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Norwich €5.2M, Portsmouth €1.4M.
  • Norwich were without 2 expected starters: V. Kovačević (2095) and K. McLean (2023).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Norwich

20th in Championship · 9 pts from 10

  • 14 OctLSouthampton 2036
  • 10 OctLSwansea 2047
  • 20 SepLBolton 2087
  • 17 SepLManchester City 1967
  • 12 SepLMiddlesbrough 2103

Portsmouth

16th in Championship · 11 pts from 9

  • 14 OctWSheffield Utd 1748
  • 11 OctLSouthampton 1800
  • 19 SepDBlackburn 1782
  • 12 SepDCharlton 1838
  • 5 SepWCardiff 1784

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Norwich9 /1065.61%8%1%8th
Portsmouth11 /950.60%<1%35%23rd
Norwich
Portsmouth

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville

Norwich · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2158

A. Segecic
A. Segecic

Portsmouth · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1962

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Philippe Clement

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

John Michael Lewis Mousinho

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Norwich: possession-based (how Philippe Clement plays) · Portsmouth: balanced profile (how John Michael Lewis Mousinho plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.