Championship · Regular Season - 16
Norwich vs Cardiff
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Carrow Road, Norwich
Norwich host Cardiff on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Norwich 53%, draw 26%, Cardiff 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Norwich €4.5M, Cardiff €1.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Norwich goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 1–07%
- 2–27%
- 3–16%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Norwich 2093 · Cardiff 1961
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Norwich · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2209
Cardiff · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 2009
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Norwich
12th in Championship · 21 pts from 15
- 7 NovWBristol City England Championship2065
- 3 NovWDerby England Championship2037
- 31 OctWWatford England Championship2030
- 24 OctWCharlton England Championship2004
- 17 OctLPortsmouth England Championship2013
Cardiff
14th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovWBurnley England Championship1966
- 4 NovDWest Ham England Championship1929
- 31 OctLWolves England Championship1943
- 24 OctWBirmingham England Championship1921
- 17 OctDMiddlesbrough England Championship1947
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 21 /15 | 71.8 | 3% | 23% | 0% | 7th |
| Cardiff | 18 /15 | 58.9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Norwich: possession-based (how Philippe Clement plays) · Cardiff: balanced profile (how Brian Barry-Murphy plays)