Indian Super League · Regular Season - 2
NorthEast United 4–1 Kerala Blasters
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati
NorthEast UnitedTeam 1407Kerala BlastersTeam 1477Match story
NorthEast United · draw · Kerala BlastersBefore kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- A. Ajaraie 15', 71'
- A. Moyano 45+4'
- C. Aman 82'
- M. Yansane 60'
We gave NorthEast United 36% to win: they did.
- 5'S. Sharma 1276 0Kerala Blasters:S. Sharma 1276 0
- A. Ajaraie – assist E. Satrustegui 1406 +6615'NorthEast United:A. Ajaraie – assist E. Satrustegui 1406 +66
- A. Moyano – assist A. Ajaraie –45+4'NorthEast United:A. Moyano – assist A. Ajaraie –
- 46'S. Singh 1357 −3 for H. Ruivah –Kerala Blasters:S. Singh 1357 −3 for H. Ruivah –
- 46'K. Singh 1377 0 for A. Ranawade 1473 −10*Kerala Blasters:K. Singh 1377 0 for A. Ranawade 1473 −10*
- 60'M. Yansane 1522 −33 assist A. Luna 1424 −14*Kerala Blasters:M. Yansane 1522 −33 assist A. Luna 1424 −14*
- 66'A. Dohling 1513 −11Kerala Blasters:A. Dohling 1513 −11
- A. Ajaraie –71'NorthEast United:A. Ajaraie –
- N. Ninkovic 1332 +2 for A. Ajaraie –73'NorthEast United:N. Ninkovic 1332 +2 for A. Ajaraie –
- C. Aman – for J. Madathil –74'NorthEast United:C. Aman – for J. Madathil –
- 78'M. K. Sanan 1478 0 for V. Mohanan 1497 −5Kerala Blasters:M. K. Sanan 1478 0 for V. Mohanan 1497 −5
- C. Aman –82'NorthEast United:C. Aman –
- M. Zothanpuia 1213 −1* for M. L. Nickson 1510 +3983'NorthEast United:M. Zothanpuia 1213 −1* for M. L. Nickson 1510 +39
- 85'N. Kosovic 1543 −5 for A. Luna 1424 −14*Kerala Blasters:N. Kosovic 1543 −5 for A. Luna 1424 −14*
- 87'F. Ndiaye – for M. Yansane 1522 −33Kerala Blasters:F. Ndiaye – for M. Yansane 1522 −33
- E. Satrustegui 1406 +6689'NorthEast United:E. Satrustegui 1406 +66
- R. Tlang 1419 −3 for A. Rabeeh A K 1417 +2390+5'NorthEast United:R. Tlang 1419 −3 for A. Rabeeh A K 1417 +23
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(NorthEast United · draw · Kerala Blasters)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–1 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: NorthEast United €168K, Kerala Blasters €189K.
- Home advantage made NorthEast United the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Indian Super League): NorthEast United ranked #1 of 10, Kerala Blasters #7.
- Kerala Blasters had won their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NorthEast United
5th in Indian Super League · 3 pts from 1
- 12 OctWATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1373
- 19 MayWMohammedan India ISL1351
- 10 MayWChennaiyin India ISL1378
- 2 MayWInter Kashi India ISL1367
- 24 AprLGoa India ISL1397
Kerala Blasters
2nd in Indian Super League · 3 pts from 1
- 11 OctWInter Kashi India ISL1451
- 18 MayWGoa India ISL1405
- 10 MayWMohammedan India ISL1400
- 23 AprWOdisha India ISL1360
- 18 AprWJamshedpur India ISL1302
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NorthEast United | 3 /1 | 17.8 | 7% | 36% | 11% | 5th |
| Kerala Blasters | 3 /1 | 18.1 | 9% | 41% | 9% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NorthEast United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1471
Kerala Blasters · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1524
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NorthEast United: direct (how Juan Pedro Benali Hammou plays) · Kerala Blasters: balanced profile (how David Català Jiménez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.