Indian Super League · Regular Season - 6
NorthEast United vs Goa
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati
NorthEast United host Goa on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NorthEast United 44%, draw 28%, Goa 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NorthEast United €190K, Goa €149K.
- Style contrast in possession (Indian Super League): NorthEast United rank #9 of 10, Goa #4.
- NorthEast United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NorthEast United goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: NorthEast United 1428 · Goa 1390
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NorthEast United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1345
Goa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1482
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NorthEast United
2nd in Indian Super League · 11 pts from 5
- 5 NovWChurchill Brothers India ISL1443
- 30 OctDBengaluru India ISL1451
- 24 OctDOdisha India ISL1446
- 18 OctWKerala Blasters India ISL1387
- 12 OctWATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1386
Goa
7th in Indian Super League · 5 pts from 4
- 6 NovLBengaluru India ISL1403
- 1 NovWInter Kashi India ISL1386
- 28 OctDSC Delhi India ISL1374
- 10 OctDChennaiyin India ISL1407
- 18 MayLKerala Blasters India ISL1483
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NorthEast United | 11 /5 | 21.3 | 13% | 72% | <1% | 3rd |
| Goa | 5 /4 | 14.8 | 1% | 10% | 21% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NorthEast United: direct (how Juan Pedro plays) · Goa: balanced profile (how Manolo Marquez plays)