League Two · Regular Season - 12
Northampton vs Tranmere
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Northampton host Tranmere on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Northampton 44%, draw 28%, Tranmere 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Northampton €312K, Tranmere €186K.
- League Two: O. Dale is the highest-rated forward (1920).
- Style contrast in chance creation (League Two): Northampton rank #23 of 24, Tranmere #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Northampton goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Northampton 1611 · Tranmere 1572
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Northampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1737
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1650
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Northampton
22nd in League Two · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctWGrimsby England League Two1529
- 10 OctDYork England League Two1523
- 6 OctLCambridge United England EFL Trophy1484
- 19 SepLRotherham England League Two1600
- 12 SepLShrewsbury England League Two1506
Tranmere
17th in League Two · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctLBarnet England League Two1540
- 10 OctDRochdale England League Two1552
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
- 26 SepDWalsall England League Two1574
- 22 SepWShrewsbury England EFL Trophy1543
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 10 /9 | 56.2 | 0% | 2% | 18% | 16th |
| Tranmere | 12 /11 | 54.8 | 0% | 2% | 23% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Northampton: direct (how Chris Hogg plays) · Tranmere: balanced profile (how Darrell James Clarke plays)