League Two · Regular Season - 9
Northampton vs Oldham
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Northampton host Oldham on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Northampton 43%, draw 28%, Oldham 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Northampton €275K, Oldham €178K.
- League Two: O. Dale is the highest-rated forward (1914).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Northampton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Northampton 1647 · Oldham 1620
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Northampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1782
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1670
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Northampton
19th in League Two · 13 pts from 11
- 24 OctWColchester England League Two1620
- 20 OctLTranmere England League Two1609
- 17 OctWGrimsby England League Two1529
- 10 OctDYork England League Two1523
- 6 OctLCambridge United England EFL Trophy1484
Oldham
20th in League Two · 12 pts from 12
- 24 OctDBarnet England League Two1616
- 20 OctLWalsall England League Two1636
- 17 OctWCheltenham England League Two1611
- 13 OctWLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1551
- 10 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1559
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 13 /11 | 57.3 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 21st |
| Oldham | 12 /12 | 54.9 | 0% | 2% | 22% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Northampton: direct (how Chris Hogg plays) · Oldham: balanced profile (how M. Mellon plays)