Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 35
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Nõmme United host FC Levadia Tallinn on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Meistriliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nõmme United 13%, draw 20%, FC Levadia Tallinn 67%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nõmme United €107K, FC Levadia Tallinn €486K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Meistriliiga matchday 35: 418 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Meistriliiga average of 26% this round.
- Meistriliiga: K. Vallner is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1751).
- K. Vallner, A. Nwankwo, V. Iboro, M. Roosnupp and Wendell Gabriel (FC Levadia Tallinn) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nõmme United goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 1–110%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Nõmme United 1221 · FC Levadia Tallinn 1639
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Levadia Tallinn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1742
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nõmme United
9th in Meistriliiga · 31 pts from 32
- 29 AugLLaagri Estonia Meistriliiga1227
- 29 MayLFlora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga1237
- 20 MayLKuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga1271
- 15 MayLTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1248
- 10 MayLPaide Estonia Meistriliiga1281
FC Levadia Tallinn
1st in Meistriliiga · 81 pts from 32
- 30 JulLIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1691
- 21 JulWIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1673
- 16 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 9 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 30 MayWTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1652
Season outlook
From the Meistriliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | 31 /32 | 34.9 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 9th |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 81 /32 | 89.5 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –