HNL · Regular Season - 13
NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Varazdin
NK Varazdin host Dinamo Zagreb on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NK Varazdin 19%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Varazdin €572K, Dinamo Zagreb €3.7M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of HNL matchday 13: 331 points.
- HNL: D. Kotarski is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2043).
- Style contrast in attacking (HNL): NK Varazdin rank #8 of 11, Dinamo Zagreb #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NK Varazdin goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: NK Varazdin 1675 · Dinamo Zagreb 2006
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NK Varazdin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1619
Dinamo Zagreb · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2057
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Varazdin
3rd in HNL · 18 pts from 10
- 18 OctLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1714
- 11 OctWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1667
- 19 SepDNK Osijek HNL1655
- 14 SepDHNK Gorica HNL1657
- 4 SepDIstra 1961 HNL1668
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd in HNL · 19 pts from 9
- 22 OctLNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2068
- 18 OctWNK Slaven Belupo HNL1991
- 15 OctWAnderlecht UEFA Europa League2039
- 10 OctLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1915
- 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1956
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | 18 /10 | 55.1 | <1% | 69% | 1% | 4th |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 19 /9 | 78.0 | 85% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Varazdin: balanced profile (how Nikola Šafarić plays) · Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays)