HNL · Regular Season - 14
NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
NK Slaven Belupo host NK Osijek on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NK Slaven Belupo 35%, draw 29%, NK Osijek 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Slaven Belupo €308K, NK Osijek €368K.
- Draw chance 29%, above the HNL average of 23% this round.
- Style contrast in dribbling (HNL): NK Slaven Belupo rank #10 of 11, NK Osijek #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NK Slaven Belupo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–18%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- 0–08%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: NK Slaven Belupo 1529 · NK Osijek 1605
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NK Slaven Belupo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1590
NK Osijek · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.1 (Average) · Elo 1687
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Slaven Belupo
7th in HNL · 16 pts from 13
- 7 NovWHNK Gorica HNL1521
- 30 OctLIstra 1961 HNL1519
- 24 OctWNK Varazdin HNL1519
- 18 OctLDinamo Zagreb HNL1530
- 11 OctWHNK Rijeka HNL1476
NK Osijek
3rd in HNL · 20 pts from 13
- 8 NovLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1602
- 1 NovWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1548
- 25 OctLRudes HNL1599
- 17 OctDHNK Gorica HNL1559
- 10 OctLIstra 1961 HNL1633
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 16 /13 | 40.6 | 0% | 4% | 51% | 8th |
| NK Osijek | 20 /13 | 47.6 | 0% | 27% | 11% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Slaven Belupo: balanced profile (how Silvijo Čabraja plays) · NK Osijek: balanced profile (how F. Bessone plays)