HNL · Regular Season - 12
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
NK Slaven Belupo host Istra 1961 on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NK Slaven Belupo 37%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Slaven Belupo €324K, Istra 1961 €413K.
- Home advantage makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (HNL): NK Slaven Belupo rank #4 of 11, Istra 1961 #8.
- Only 2 of Istra 1961's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NK Slaven Belupo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: NK Slaven Belupo 1509 · Istra 1961 1559
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NK Slaven Belupo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1555
Istra 1961 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1690
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Slaven Belupo
8th in HNL · 10 pts from 10
- 18 OctLDinamo Zagreb HNL1535
- 11 OctWHNK Rijeka HNL1487
- 18 SepDRudes HNL1464
- 13 SepLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1466
- 6 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1446
Istra 1961
6th in HNL · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1545
- 10 OctWNK Osijek HNL1566
- 19 SepLHNK Gorica HNL1566
- 13 SepWRudes HNL1511
- 4 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1522
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 10 /10 | 37.2 | 0% | 1% | 59% | 8th |
| Istra 1961 | 12 /10 | 41.2 | 0% | 4% | 31% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Slaven Belupo: balanced profile (how Silvijo Čabraja plays) · Istra 1961: balanced profile (how Javier Antonio Cabello Rubio plays)