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HNL · Regular Season - 9

NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Rijeka

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica

NK Slaven Belupo crestNK Slaven BelupoTeam 1421
4–1
Full time
HT 1–1
HNK Rijeka crestHNK RijekaTeam 1814

Match story

NK Slaven Belupo · draw · HNK Rijeka

Before kick-off: 16% · 23% · 62%

Live chances: NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 62%2' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 61%3' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 61%4' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 61%5' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 61%6' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 61%7' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 60%8' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%9' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%10' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%11' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%12' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%13' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 14%, HNK Rijeka 79%14' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 7%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%15' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%16' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%17' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%18' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%19' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%20' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%21' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%22' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%23' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%24' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%25' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%26' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%27' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%28' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%29' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%30' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%31' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%32' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 15%, HNK Rijeka 79%33' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 16%, HNK Rijeka 79%34' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 6%, draw 16%, HNK Rijeka 79%35' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 30%, HNK Rijeka 53%36' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 30%, HNK Rijeka 52%37' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 31%, HNK Rijeka 52%38' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 31%, HNK Rijeka 52%39' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 31%, HNK Rijeka 51%40' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 51%41' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 51%42' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 50%43' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 33%, HNK Rijeka 50%44' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 33%, HNK Rijeka 49%45' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 33%, HNK Rijeka 49%45+1' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 34%, HNK Rijeka 49%45+2' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 34%, HNK Rijeka 48%45+3' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 35%, HNK Rijeka 48%45+4' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 35%, HNK Rijeka 48%HT · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 35%, HNK Rijeka 48%46' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 35%, HNK Rijeka 47%47' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 35%, HNK Rijeka 47%48' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 36%, HNK Rijeka 47%49' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 36%, HNK Rijeka 46%50' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 37%, HNK Rijeka 46%51' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 38%, HNK Rijeka 45%52' · 1–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 17%, draw 38%, HNK Rijeka 45%53' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 56%, draw 29%, HNK Rijeka 16%54' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 56%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 15%55' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 57%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 15%56' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 57%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 14%57' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 58%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 14%58' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 59%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 13%59' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 59%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 13%60' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 60%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 12%61' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 61%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 12%62' · 2–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 45%, HNK Rijeka 38%63' · 2–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 16%, draw 46%, HNK Rijeka 38%64' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 63%, draw 27%, HNK Rijeka 10%65' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 63%, draw 27%, HNK Rijeka 10%66' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 64%, draw 27%, HNK Rijeka 9%67' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 65%, draw 26%, HNK Rijeka 9%68' · 2–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 65%, draw 26%, HNK Rijeka 9%69' · 3–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 93%, draw 6%, HNK Rijeka 1%70' · 3–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 93%, draw 6%, HNK Rijeka 1%71' · 3–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 94%, draw 5%, HNK Rijeka 1%73' · 3–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 95%, draw 5%, HNK Rijeka 1%74' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 99%, draw 1%, HNK Rijeka 0%75' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 99%, draw 1%, HNK Rijeka 0%76' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 99%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%77' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%78' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%79' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%80' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%81' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%82' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%83' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%84' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%85' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%86' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%87' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%88' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%89' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%90' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%90+1' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%90+2' · 4–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 100%, draw 0%, HNK Rijeka 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave HNK Rijeka 62% to win: NK Slaven Belupo won.

  1. 7'HNK Rijeka:Tiago Dantas 1913 −26* (pen.)
  2. 21'NK Slaven Belupo:Dominik Kovačić 1528 +19* for Tomislav Božić 1379 −6*
  3. 35'NK Slaven Belupo:Jon Mersinaj 1667 +56* assist lovro banovec 1552 +138*
  4. 43'NK Slaven Belupo:Itsuki Urata 1534 +32*
  5. 52'NK Slaven Belupo:lovro banovec 1552 +138* assist Marko Dabro 1610 +91*
  6. 62'HNK Rijeka:Toni Fruk 1946 −15* for Alfonso Barco 1788 −8*
  7. 62'HNK Rijeka:Jakov Puljić 1467 −12* for Niko Janković 1817 −8*
  8. 68'NK Slaven Belupo:Ilija Nestorovski 1567 +110* assist Josip Mitrović 1643 +71*
  9. 74'NK Slaven Belupo:Ilija Nestorovski 1567 +110*
  10. 80'HNK Rijeka:Amer Gojak 1791 −9* for Tiago Dantas 1913 −26*
  11. 80'HNK Rijeka:Ante Matej Juric 1660 −8* for D. Adu-Adjei 1898 −23*
  12. 85'HNK Rijeka:Noel Bodetic 1459 −8* for Justas Lasickas 1858 −8
  13. 89'NK Slaven Belupo:Vito Papac 1263 −7* for Ilija Nestorovski 1567 +110*
  14. 89'NK Slaven Belupo:Leon Bošnjak 1284 −7* for lovro banovec 1552 +138*
  15. 90+2'NK Slaven Belupo:Lovre loncar 1266 −7* for Marko Dabro 1610 +91*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GI. Čović1481+192*
DF. Krušelj1539+33*
DT. Božić1379−6*
DJ. Mersinaj1667+56*
DI. Urata1534+32*
MA. Adeshina1640+15*
MF. Mažar1414+58*
MJ. Mitrović1643+71*
MM. Dabro1610+91*
ML. Banovec1552+138*
FI. Nestorovski1567+110*
CS. Čabraja1625+46*
GI. Vekič1674−8*
DA. Oreč1898−25*
DA. Majstorović1865−23*
DA. Husic1868−18*
DJ. Lasickas1858−8
MI. Ćubelić1606−8*
MA. Barco1788−8*
MS. Vignato1797−8*
MTiago Dantas1913−26*
MN. Janković1817−8*
FD. Adu-Adjei1898−23*
CM. Kek1941−67*
Before kick-off: 16% · 23% · 62%(NK Slaven Belupo · draw · HNK Rijeka)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 4–1 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: NK Slaven Belupo €293K, HNK Rijeka €1.1M.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (HNL): NK Slaven Belupo ranked #9 of 11, HNK Rijeka #4.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

NK Slaven Belupo

8th in HNL · 7 pts from 8

  • 18 SepDRudes 1464
  • 13 SepLHNK Hajduk Split 1466
  • 6 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1446
  • 30 AugLNK Osijek 1420
  • 22 AugWHNK Gorica 1389

HNK Rijeka

5th in HNL · 14 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWHNK Hajduk Split 1819
  • 12 SepDNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1821
  • 5 SepWNK Osijek 1802
  • 31 AugDHNK Gorica 1846
  • 27 AugLFC Midtjylland 1845

Season outlook

From the HNL simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
NK Slaven Belupo7 /833.00%<1%83%10th
HNK Rijeka14 /766.511%98%0%2nd
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: HNL

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Dabro
M. Dabro

NK Slaven Belupo · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1519

A. Oreč
A. Oreč

HNK Rijeka · +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1923

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Silvijo Čabraja

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Matjaž Kek

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

NK Slaven Belupo: balanced profile (how Silvijo Čabraja plays) · HNK Rijeka: balanced profile (how Matjaž Kek plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.