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HNL · Regular Season - 10

NK Slaven Belupo 1–5 Dinamo Zagreb

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica

NK Slaven Belupo crestNK Slaven BelupoTeam 1454
1–5
Full time
HT 1–3
Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo ZagrebTeam 1986

Match story

NK Slaven Belupo · draw · Dinamo Zagreb

Before kick-off: 10% · 16% · 73%

Live chances: NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 10%, draw 16%, Dinamo Zagreb 73%2' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 10%, draw 16%, Dinamo Zagreb 73%3' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 73%4' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 73%5' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%6' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%7' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%8' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%9' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%10' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%11' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%12' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%13' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%14' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 70%15' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 11%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 70%16' · 0–0 · NK Slaven Belupo 12%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb 70%17' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%18' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%19' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%20' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%21' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%22' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%23' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 84%24' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%25' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%26' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%27' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%28' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%29' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%30' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%31' · 0–1 · NK Slaven Belupo 5%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 83%32' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%33' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%34' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%35' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%36' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%37' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%38' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%39' · 0–2 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%40' · 0–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Zagreb 99%41' · 0–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Zagreb 99%42' · 0–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Zagreb 99%43' · 0–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Zagreb 99%44' · 0–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Zagreb 99%45' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%45+1' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%45+2' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%HT · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%47' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%48' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%49' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%50' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%51' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%52' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%53' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 1%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 96%54' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%55' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%56' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%57' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%58' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%59' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%60' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%61' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%62' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%63' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 2%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%64' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 2%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%65' · 1–3 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 2%, Dinamo Zagreb 97%66' · 1–4 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%67' · 1–4 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%68' · 1–4 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%69' · 1–4 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%70' · 1–4 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%71' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%72' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%73' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%74' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%75' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%76' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%77' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%78' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%79' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%80' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%81' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%82' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%83' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%84' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%85' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%86' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%87' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%88' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%89' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%90' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%90+1' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%90+2' · 1–5 · NK Slaven Belupo 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 100%

Last reading, 90+2': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dinamo Zagreb 73% to win: they did.

  1. 16'Dinamo Zagreb:Dani Rodríguez 1871 +26 assist Dion Drena Beljo 2131 +12
  2. 31'Dinamo Zagreb:Dion Drena Beljo 2131 +12 (pen.)
  3. 39'NK Slaven Belupo:David Bosak 1310 −8* for Filip mazar 1414 0
  4. 40'Dinamo Zagreb:Dion Drena Beljo 2131 +12 assist Mislav Oršić 1699 +42*
  5. 45'NK Slaven Belupo:Jon Mersinaj 1658 −10
  6. 60'NK Slaven Belupo:Lukas Zahora 1282 −8* for Lovre loncar 1266 0
  7. 60'NK Slaven Belupo:Leon Bošnjak 1284 0 for lovro banovec 1550 −1
  8. 60'Dinamo Zagreb:Lukas Kacavenda 1650 +7 for Luka Stojkovic 2114 +4
  9. 60'Dinamo Zagreb:Miha Zajc 1974 +5 for Kirill Kravtsov 1721 +13
  10. 60'Dinamo Zagreb:Iker Almena Horcajo 1885 +5 for Dani Rodríguez 1871 +26
  11. 65'Dinamo Zagreb:Miha Zajc 1974 +5
  12. 67'Dinamo Zagreb:Smail Prevljak 1644 −5* for Dion Drena Beljo 2131 +12
  13. 71'Dinamo Zagreb:Niko Galesic 2164 +14 assist Mislav Oršić 1699 +42*
  14. 74'Dinamo Zagreb:Fran Topic 1881 −1* for Josip Mišić 2075 +2
  15. 78'NK Slaven Belupo:Ljuban Crepulja 1411 −13* for Adeshina Adetunji 1634 −6
  16. 78'NK Slaven Belupo:Losika Ratshukudu 1001 −8* for Josip Mitrović 1636 −7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GI. Čović1477−4
DF. Krušelj1538−1
DJ. Mersinaj1658−10
DD. Kovačić1523−5
DI. Urata1531−3
MA. Adeshina1634−6
MF. Mažar14140
MJ. Mitrović1636−7
MLovro Loncaric12660
ML. Banovec1550−1
FI. Nestorovski1555−12
CS. Čabraja1613−12
GD. Kotarski2054+23
DM. Valinčić2085+8
DN. Galešić2164+14
DS. McKenna2104+5
DB. Goda2109−2*
MJ. Mišić2075+2
MDani Rodríguez1871+26
ML. Stojković2114+4
MK. Kravtsov1721+13
MM. Oršić1699+42*
FD. Beljo2131+12
CMario Kovacevic2095+14
Before kick-off: 10% · 16% · 73%(NK Slaven Belupo · draw · Dinamo Zagreb)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 0–2 (9%); the result 1–5 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: NK Slaven Belupo €326K, Dinamo Zagreb €3.6M.
  • Draw chance was 19%, below the HNL average of 25% this round.
  • HNL: D. Kotarski was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2031).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (HNL): NK Slaven Belupo ranked #9 of 11, Dinamo Zagreb #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

NK Slaven Belupo

8th in HNL · 10 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWHNK Rijeka 1487
  • 18 SepDRudes 1464
  • 13 SepLHNK Hajduk Split 1466
  • 6 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1446
  • 30 AugLNK Osijek 1420

Dinamo Zagreb

5th in HNL · 16 pts from 8

  • 15 OctWAnderlecht 2039
  • 10 OctLHNK Hajduk Split 1915
  • 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1956
  • 16 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva 2002
  • 12 SepLNK Osijek 2018

Season outlook

From the HNL simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
NK Slaven Belupo10 /937.70%1%58%8th
Dinamo Zagreb16 /875.980%100%0%1st
NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: HNL

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Nestorovski
I. Nestorovski

NK Slaven Belupo · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1567

J. Mišić
J. Mišić

Dinamo Zagreb · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2073

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Silvijo Čabraja

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Mario Kovačević

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

NK Slaven Belupo: balanced profile (how Silvijo Čabraja plays) · Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.