HNL · Regular Season - 9
NK Osijek 1–3 Istra 1961
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Opus Arena, Osijek
NK OsijekTeam 1600Istra 1961Team 1556- Antonio Mauric 34'
- Nik Skafar Zuzic 50'
- Dukan Ahmeti 90+3'
We gave NK Osijek 45% to win: Istra 1961 won.
- Simun Mikolcic –2'NK Osijek:Simun Mikolcic –
- 31'Demirel hodzic – for Daouda Doumbia –Istra 1961:Demirel hodzic – for Daouda Doumbia –
- 34'Antonio Mauric – assist Emil Frederiksen –Istra 1961:Antonio Mauric – assist Emil Frederiksen –
- ivano kolarik – for Emin Hasic –45'NK Osijek:ivano kolarik – for Emin Hasic –
- 45'Dukan Ahmeti – for Antonio Mauric –Istra 1961:Dukan Ahmeti – for Antonio Mauric –
- 50'Nik Skafar Zuzic – assist Dukan Ahmeti –Istra 1961:Nik Skafar Zuzic – assist Dukan Ahmeti –
- Ivan Dolček – for Álejandro Cantero –56'NK Osijek:Ivan Dolček – for Álejandro Cantero –
- Admir ljatifi – for Domagoj Bukvic –56'NK Osijek:Admir ljatifi – for Domagoj Bukvic –
- Oleksandr Petrusenko – for Luka vrbancic –62'NK Osijek:Oleksandr Petrusenko – for Luka vrbancic –
- David Kalem – for Marcel Heister –62'NK Osijek:David Kalem – for Marcel Heister –
- 67'Demirel hodzic –Istra 1961:Demirel hodzic –
- Simun Mikolcic –69'NK Osijek:Simun Mikolcic –
- 71'Gustavo albarracin –Istra 1961:Gustavo albarracin –
- Armando León –76'NK Osijek:Armando León –
- 79'Silvio Gorican – for Nik Skafar Zuzic –Istra 1961:Silvio Gorican – for Nik Skafar Zuzic –
- 85'Matija Kablar – for Gustavo albarracin –Istra 1961:Matija Kablar – for Gustavo albarracin –
- 90+3'Dukan Ahmeti –Istra 1961:Dukan Ahmeti –
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(NK Osijek · draw · Istra 1961)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Osijek €425K, Istra 1961 €440K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (HNL): NK Osijek ranked #3 of 11, Istra 1961 #8.
- Only 2 of Istra 1961's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Osijek
3rd in HNL · 16 pts from 8
- 19 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1612
- 12 SepWDinamo Zagreb HNL1597
- 5 SepLHNK Rijeka HNL1599
- 30 AugWNK Slaven Belupo HNL1636
- 23 AugLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1657
Istra 1961
6th in HNL · 9 pts from 8
- 19 SepLHNK Gorica HNL1566
- 13 SepWRudes HNL1511
- 4 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1522
- 29 AugDDinamo Zagreb HNL1510
- 23 AugLHNK Rijeka HNL1529
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek | 16 /8 | 52.0 | 0% | 45% | 2% | 5th |
| Istra 1961 | 9 /8 | 41.5 | 0% | 5% | 28% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NK Osijek · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1712
Istra 1961 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1674
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Osijek: balanced profile (how Federico Bessone Luna plays) · Istra 1961: balanced profile (how Javi Cabello plays)