HNL · Regular Season - 13
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host Rudes on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 47%, draw 28%, Rudes 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb €374K, Rudes €247K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (HNL): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb rank #2 of 11, Rudes #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1550 · Rudes 1485
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1569

Rudes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1538
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
7th in HNL · 10 pts from 10
- 17 OctWIstra 1961 HNL1499
- 11 OctLNK Varazdin HNL1543
- 20 SepLDinamo Zagreb HNL1523
- 12 SepDHNK Rijeka HNL1518
- 6 SepLNK Slaven Belupo HNL1523
Rudes
9th in HNL · 7 pts from 10
- 16 OctLHNK Rijeka HNL1490
- 9 OctWHNK Gorica HNL1452
- 18 SepDNK Slaven Belupo HNL1453
- 13 SepLIstra 1961 HNL1478
- 6 SepLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1431
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 10 /10 | 38.9 | 0% | 2% | 45% | 7th |
| Rudes | 7 /10 | 32.3 | 0% | <1% | 85% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: balanced profile (how Nikica Jelavić plays) · Rudes: low-block · direct (how Alen Peternac plays)