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HNL · Regular Season - 9

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb crestNK Lokomotiva ZagrebTeam 1488
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
NK Varazdin crestNK VarazdinTeam 1637

Match story

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · draw · NK Varazdin

Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 41%

Live chances: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 3%, NK Varazdin 96% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 41%2' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 41%3' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 41%4' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 41%5' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 40%6' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 40%7' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 40%8' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 40%9' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 40%10' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 40%11' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 40%12' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 40%13' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 39%14' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 39%15' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%16' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%17' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%18' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%19' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%20' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 39%21' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 38%22' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 38%23' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 38%24' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 38%25' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 38%26' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 38%27' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 37%28' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 37%29' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 37%30' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 37%31' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 37%32' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 37%33' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 36%34' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 36%35' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 36%36' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 36%37' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 28%, draw 37%, NK Varazdin 36%38' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 27%, draw 37%, NK Varazdin 35%39' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 27%, draw 37%, NK Varazdin 35%40' · 0–0 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 27%, draw 38%, NK Varazdin 35%41' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 10%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%42' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 10%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%43' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%44' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%45' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%45+1' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 68%HT · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 9%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 69%46' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 69%47' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 69%48' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 69%49' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 70%50' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 70%51' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 70%52' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 70%53' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 71%54' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 71%55' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 71%56' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 72%57' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6%, draw 22%, NK Varazdin 72%58' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 72%59' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 73%60' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 6%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 73%61' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 74%62' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 74%63' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 74%64' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 75%65' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 75%66' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 76%67' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 76%68' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 76%69' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4%, draw 19%, NK Varazdin 77%70' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4%, draw 19%, NK Varazdin 77%71' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 19%, NK Varazdin 78%72' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 18%, NK Varazdin 78%73' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 18%, NK Varazdin 79%74' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 18%, NK Varazdin 79%75' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 17%, NK Varazdin 80%76' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3%, draw 17%, NK Varazdin 80%77' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2%, draw 17%, NK Varazdin 81%78' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2%, draw 16%, NK Varazdin 82%79' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2%, draw 16%, NK Varazdin 82%80' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2%, draw 15%, NK Varazdin 83%81' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2%, draw 15%, NK Varazdin 84%82' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 14%, NK Varazdin 84%83' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 13%, NK Varazdin 85%84' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 13%, NK Varazdin 86%85' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 12%, NK Varazdin 87%86' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 11%, NK Varazdin 88%87' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 11%, NK Varazdin 88%88' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 10%, NK Varazdin 89%89' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1%, draw 9%, NK Varazdin 90%90' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 8%, NK Varazdin 92%90+1' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 7%, NK Varazdin 93%90+2' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 6%, NK Varazdin 94%90+3' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 5%, NK Varazdin 95%90+4' · 0–1 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0%, draw 3%, NK Varazdin 96%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 3% · 96%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave NK Varazdin 41% to win: they did.

  1. 25'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Marko Vešović 1543 −12
  2. 40'NK Varazdin:luka mamic 1754 +12* assist Petar Bočkaj 1715 +9*
  3. 45'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Feta Fetai 1589 −19* for matija subotic 1564 −11*
  4. 45'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Dušan Vuković 1567 −9 for Marko Vešović 1543 −12
  5. 45'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Ivan katic 1454 −8* for jakov vasilj 1544 −10*
  6. 55'NK Varazdin:Sven Lesjak 1403 +16* for Ivan Posavec 1604 +13*
  7. 67'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Kristijan Čabrajić 1411 −8*
  8. 71'NK Varazdin:Tomislav Duvnjak 1712 −6* for Petar Bočkaj 1715 +9*
  9. 71'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Kayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu 1333 −8* for Kristijan Čabrajić 1411 −8*
  10. 74'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:dominik thaqi 1473 −8*
  11. 75'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Fran Karačić 1609 −20*
  12. 78'NK Varazdin:David Puclin 1528 −8* for Mario Marina 1457 −1*
  13. 80'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Noel Durkovic 1332 −8* for dominik thaqi 1473 −8*
  14. 82'NK Varazdin:Ivan Canjuga 1723 +1*
  15. 85'NK Lokomotiva Zagreb:Dušan Vuković 1567 −9

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Posavec1573−15*
DF. Karačić1609−20*
DM. Vešović1543−12
DT. Triantafyllou1413−8*
DK. Čabrajić1411−8*
MJ. Gurlica1508−15*
MM. Subotić1564−11*
MDominik Thaqi1473−8*
MJ. Vasilj1544−10*
ML. Belcar1607−17*
FM. Marić1571−18*
CN. Jelavić1552−19*
GJ. Silić1619+28*
DF. Maglica1786+7*
DM. Mladenovski1761+20
DN. Tepšić1727+15*
DE. Duraković1537+38*
MI. Canjuga1723+1*
MM. Marina1457−1*
MA. Latković1771+6
ML. Mamić1754+12*
MP. Bočkaj1715+9*
FI. Posavec1604+13*
CN. Šafarić1762+5*
Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 41%(NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · draw · NK Varazdin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb €378K, NK Varazdin €519K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (HNL): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ranked #2 of 11, NK Varazdin #10.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

7th in HNL · 7 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLDinamo Zagreb 1523
  • 12 SepDHNK Rijeka 1518
  • 6 SepLNK Slaven Belupo 1523
  • 31 AugLHNK Hajduk Split 1502
  • 21 AugLRudes 1529

NK Varazdin

4th in HNL · 15 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDNK Osijek 1655
  • 14 SepDHNK Gorica 1657
  • 4 SepDIstra 1961 1668
  • 29 AugWRudes 1699
  • 22 AugLDinamo Zagreb 1704

Season outlook

From the HNL simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb7 /838.80%3%49%7th
NK Varazdin15 /852.0<1%49%2%4th
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: HNL

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Marić
M. Marić

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1589

I. Canjuga
I. Canjuga

NK Varazdin · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1722

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nikica Jelavić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Nikola Šafarić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: balanced profile (how Nikica Jelavić plays) · NK Varazdin: balanced profile (how Nikola Šafarić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.