HNL · Regular Season - 12
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host NK Osijek on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%, draw 29%, NK Osijek 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb €369K, NK Osijek €378K.
- Home advantage makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1553 · NK Osijek 1610
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1569
NK Osijek · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1687
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
7th in HNL · 10 pts from 10
- 17 OctWIstra 1961 HNL1499
- 11 OctLNK Varazdin HNL1543
- 20 SepLDinamo Zagreb HNL1523
- 12 SepDHNK Rijeka HNL1518
- 6 SepLNK Slaven Belupo HNL1523
NK Osijek
4th in HNL · 17 pts from 10
- 17 OctDHNK Gorica HNL1583
- 10 OctLIstra 1961 HNL1661
- 19 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1612
- 12 SepWDinamo Zagreb HNL1597
- 5 SepLHNK Rijeka HNL1599
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 10 /10 | 38.9 | 0% | 2% | 46% | 7th |
| NK Osijek | 17 /10 | 49.5 | 0% | 27% | 4% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: balanced profile (how Nikica Jelavić plays) · NK Osijek: balanced profile (how Federico Bessone Luna plays)