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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Nice 2–1 Strasbourg

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice crestNiceTeam 1879
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Strasbourg crestStrasbourgTeam 1965

Match story

Nice · draw · Strasbourg

Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%

Live chances: Nice 95%, draw 5%, Strasbourg 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Nice 35%, draw 29%, Strasbourg 36%3' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 29%, Strasbourg 36%4' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 29%, Strasbourg 36%5' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%6' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%7' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%8' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%9' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%10' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%11' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 30%, Strasbourg 36%12' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 36%13' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 35%14' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 35%15' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 35%16' · 0–0 · Nice 34%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 35%17' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 31%, Strasbourg 35%18' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 32%, Strasbourg 35%19' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 32%, Strasbourg 35%20' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 32%, Strasbourg 35%21' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 32%, Strasbourg 35%22' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 32%, Strasbourg 35%23' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 33%, Strasbourg 34%24' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 33%, Strasbourg 34%26' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 33%, Strasbourg 34%27' · 0–0 · Nice 33%, draw 33%, Strasbourg 34%28' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 34%, Strasbourg 34%29' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 34%, Strasbourg 34%30' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 34%, Strasbourg 34%31' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 34%, Strasbourg 33%32' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 35%, Strasbourg 33%33' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 35%, Strasbourg 33%34' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 35%, Strasbourg 33%35' · 0–0 · Nice 32%, draw 36%, Strasbourg 33%36' · 0–0 · Nice 31%, draw 36%, Strasbourg 33%37' · 0–0 · Nice 31%, draw 36%, Strasbourg 33%38' · 0–0 · Nice 31%, draw 36%, Strasbourg 32%40' · 0–0 · Nice 31%, draw 37%, Strasbourg 32%41' · 0–0 · Nice 31%, draw 37%, Strasbourg 32%42' · 0–1 · Nice 12%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 64%43' · 0–1 · Nice 12%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 64%44' · 0–1 · Nice 11%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 64%45' · 0–1 · Nice 11%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 65%45+1' · 0–1 · Nice 11%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 65%45+2' · 0–1 · Nice 11%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 65%45+3' · 0–1 · Nice 11%, draw 24%, Strasbourg 65%45+4' · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 40%, Strasbourg 30%HT · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 40%, Strasbourg 30%46' · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 40%, Strasbourg 30%47' · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 41%, Strasbourg 30%48' · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 41%, Strasbourg 30%49' · 1–1 · Nice 29%, draw 41%, Strasbourg 30%50' · 1–1 · Nice 28%, draw 42%, Strasbourg 30%51' · 1–1 · Nice 28%, draw 43%, Strasbourg 29%52' · 1–1 · Nice 28%, draw 43%, Strasbourg 29%53' · 1–1 · Nice 28%, draw 44%, Strasbourg 29%54' · 1–1 · Nice 27%, draw 44%, Strasbourg 28%55' · 1–1 · Nice 27%, draw 45%, Strasbourg 28%56' · 1–1 · Nice 27%, draw 46%, Strasbourg 28%57' · 1–1 · Nice 26%, draw 46%, Strasbourg 27%58' · 1–1 · Nice 26%, draw 47%, Strasbourg 27%59' · 1–1 · Nice 26%, draw 48%, Strasbourg 27%60' · 1–1 · Nice 25%, draw 48%, Strasbourg 26%61' · 1–1 · Nice 25%, draw 49%, Strasbourg 26%62' · 1–1 · Nice 25%, draw 50%, Strasbourg 26%63' · 1–1 · Nice 24%, draw 50%, Strasbourg 25%64' · 1–1 · Nice 24%, draw 51%, Strasbourg 25%65' · 1–1 · Nice 24%, draw 52%, Strasbourg 24%66' · 1–1 · Nice 23%, draw 53%, Strasbourg 24%67' · 1–1 · Nice 23%, draw 54%, Strasbourg 24%68' · 1–1 · Nice 22%, draw 54%, Strasbourg 23%69' · 1–1 · Nice 22%, draw 55%, Strasbourg 23%70' · 1–1 · Nice 22%, draw 56%, Strasbourg 22%71' · 1–1 · Nice 21%, draw 57%, Strasbourg 22%72' · 1–1 · Nice 21%, draw 58%, Strasbourg 21%73' · 1–1 · Nice 20%, draw 59%, Strasbourg 21%74' · 1–1 · Nice 20%, draw 60%, Strasbourg 20%75' · 1–1 · Nice 19%, draw 61%, Strasbourg 20%76' · 1–1 · Nice 19%, draw 62%, Strasbourg 19%77' · 1–1 · Nice 18%, draw 63%, Strasbourg 19%78' · 1–1 · Nice 17%, draw 65%, Strasbourg 18%79' · 1–1 · Nice 17%, draw 66%, Strasbourg 17%80' · 1–1 · Nice 16%, draw 67%, Strasbourg 17%81' · 1–1 · Nice 15%, draw 69%, Strasbourg 16%82' · 2–1 · Nice 85%, draw 14%, Strasbourg 1%83' · 2–1 · Nice 85%, draw 13%, Strasbourg 1%84' · 2–1 · Nice 86%, draw 13%, Strasbourg 1%85' · 2–1 · Nice 87%, draw 12%, Strasbourg 1%86' · 2–1 · Nice 88%, draw 11%, Strasbourg 1%87' · 2–1 · Nice 89%, draw 11%, Strasbourg 1%88' · 2–1 · Nice 90%, draw 10%, Strasbourg 1%89' · 2–1 · Nice 91%, draw 9%, Strasbourg 1%90' · 2–1 · Nice 92%, draw 8%, Strasbourg 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Nice 93%, draw 7%, Strasbourg 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Nice 94%, draw 6%, Strasbourg 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Nice 95%, draw 5%, Strasbourg 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 95% · 5% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Strasbourg 36% to win: Nice won.

  1. 37'Nice:Hicham Boudaoui 2000 0* for Djibril Coulibaly 1651 +8*
  2. 41'Strasbourg:Dario Essugo 1810 −8* assist Conrad Harder 1913 −8*
  3. 45+2'Nice:Pape Demba Diop 1987 −8* (own goal)
  4. 47'Strasbourg:Joaquín Martínez Gauna 1986 −8*
  5. 63'Strasbourg:Jacobo Ortega 1904 −8* for Conrad Harder 1913 −8*
  6. 63'Strasbourg:Giovanni Reyna 2098 −8* for Diogo Sousa 1912 −8*
  7. 73'Strasbourg:Samir El-Mourabet 2111 −8* for Dario Essugo 1810 −8*
  8. 73'Nice:Sofiane Diop 1957 −5* for Sepe Elye Wahi 2029 +2*
  9. 73'Strasbourg:Fábio Baldé 1643 −8* for Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 1814 −8*
  10. 75'Nice:Sofiane Diop 1957 −5*
  11. 76'Strasbourg:Lucas Høgsberg 2144 −8* for Jeyland Mitchell 2072 0
  12. 81'Nice:Jonathan Clauss 1976 +32* assist Sofiane Diop 1957 −5*
  13. 86'Nice:Everton Pereira 1661 −6* for Axel Witsel 1822 +6*
  14. 86'Nice:Isak Jansson 1779 −6* for Gauthier Hein 1795 +17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-3-3
GF. Jörgensen2349−20*
DG. Antwi2013−8*
DJ. Mitchell20720
DAbdoul Karim Coulibaly1893−8*
DOso1986−8*
MDiogo Sousa1912−8*
MP. Diop1987−8*
MDário Essugo1810−8*
FGessime Yassine2110−8*
FC. Harder1913−8*
FS. Amo-Ameyaw1814−8*
CHugo Oliveira2000−8*
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Nice · draw · Strasbourg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Nice €4.5M, Strasbourg €7.6M.
  • Strasbourg were without 1 expected starter: I. Doukouré (2189).
  • Only 1 of Strasbourg's expected starters was past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Nice

15th in Ligue 1 · 5 pts from 5

  • 20 SepWLille 1868
  • 12 SepLAuxerre 1877
  • 5 SepDLe Mans 1915
  • 30 AugLParis FC 1890
  • 22 AugDLorient 1857

Strasbourg

10th in Ligue 1 · 7 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLParis FC 2086
  • 12 SepDMonaco 2074
  • 6 SepWEstac Troyes 2032
  • 29 AugWLens 1998
  • 21 AugLMarseille 2046

Season outlook

From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Nice5 /539.00%<1%14%12th
Strasbourg7 /550.20%13%1%8th
Nice
Strasbourg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Clauss
J. Clauss

Nice · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1944

J. Mitchell
J. Mitchell

Strasbourg · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2072

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Olivier Pantaloni

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Nice: balanced profile (how Olivier Pantaloni plays) · Strasbourg: balanced profile (how Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.