Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Nice vs Rennes
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Allianz Riviera, Nice
Nice host Rennes on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nice 26%, draw 28%, Rennes 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nice €4.8M, Rennes €10.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nice goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Nice 1915 · Rennes 2132
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1961
Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2289
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nice
13th in Ligue 1 · 8 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLyon Ligue 11955
- 11 OctWStrasbourg Ligue 11906
- 20 SepWLille Ligue 11868
- 12 SepLAuxerre Ligue 11877
- 5 SepDLe Mans Ligue 11915
Rennes
6th in Ligue 1 · 13 pts from 7
- 18 OctLParis FC Ligue 12141
- 15 OctWOFI UEFA Europa League2171
- 11 OctWAuxerre Ligue 12125
- 19 SepLLyon Ligue 12113
- 16 SepDSturm Graz UEFA Europa League2157
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 8 /7 | 40.6 | 0% | <1% | 7% | 11th |
| Rennes | 13 /7 | 60.0 | <1% | 59% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nice: balanced profile (how Olivier Pantaloni plays) · Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays)