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League Two · Regular Season - 11

Newport County 1–1 York

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Rodney Parade, Newport

Newport County crestNewport CountyTeam 1588
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
York crestYorkTeam 1550

Match story

Newport County · draw · York

Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%

Live chances: Newport County 1%, draw 98%, York 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Newport County 44%, draw 29%, York 27%2' · 0–0 · Newport County 43%, draw 29%, York 27%3' · 0–0 · Newport County 43%, draw 29%, York 27%4' · 0–0 · Newport County 43%, draw 29%, York 27%5' · 0–1 · Newport County 27%, draw 27%, York 46%6' · 0–1 · Newport County 27%, draw 27%, York 47%7' · 0–1 · Newport County 26%, draw 27%, York 47%8' · 0–1 · Newport County 26%, draw 27%, York 47%9' · 0–1 · Newport County 26%, draw 27%, York 47%10' · 0–1 · Newport County 26%, draw 27%, York 47%11' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 27%, York 47%12' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 27%, York 48%13' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 27%, York 48%14' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 27%, York 48%15' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 27%, York 48%16' · 0–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 27%, York 48%17' · 0–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 27%, York 49%18' · 0–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 27%, York 49%19' · 0–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 27%, York 49%20' · 0–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 27%, York 49%21' · 0–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 28%, York 49%22' · 0–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 28%, York 49%23' · 0–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 28%, York 50%24' · 0–1 · Newport County 22%, draw 28%, York 50%25' · 0–1 · Newport County 22%, draw 28%, York 50%26' · 0–1 · Newport County 40%, draw 30%, York 31%27' · 0–1 · Newport County 39%, draw 30%, York 31%28' · 0–1 · Newport County 39%, draw 30%, York 31%29' · 0–1 · Newport County 38%, draw 30%, York 32%30' · 0–1 · Newport County 38%, draw 30%, York 32%31' · 0–1 · Newport County 37%, draw 30%, York 32%32' · 0–1 · Newport County 37%, draw 30%, York 33%33' · 0–1 · Newport County 36%, draw 30%, York 33%34' · 0–1 · Newport County 36%, draw 31%, York 33%35' · 0–1 · Newport County 36%, draw 31%, York 34%36' · 0–1 · Newport County 35%, draw 31%, York 34%37' · 0–1 · Newport County 35%, draw 31%, York 34%38' · 0–1 · Newport County 34%, draw 31%, York 35%39' · 0–1 · Newport County 34%, draw 31%, York 35%40' · 0–1 · Newport County 33%, draw 31%, York 36%41' · 0–1 · Newport County 32%, draw 31%, York 36%42' · 0–1 · Newport County 32%, draw 32%, York 36%43' · 0–1 · Newport County 31%, draw 32%, York 37%44' · 0–1 · Newport County 31%, draw 32%, York 37%45' · 0–1 · Newport County 30%, draw 32%, York 38%45+1' · 0–1 · Newport County 30%, draw 32%, York 38%45+2' · 0–1 · Newport County 29%, draw 32%, York 39%45+3' · 0–1 · Newport County 29%, draw 32%, York 39%HT · 0–1 · Newport County 29%, draw 32%, York 39%46' · 0–1 · Newport County 28%, draw 32%, York 39%47' · 0–1 · Newport County 28%, draw 32%, York 40%48' · 0–1 · Newport County 27%, draw 32%, York 40%49' · 0–1 · Newport County 27%, draw 33%, York 41%50' · 0–1 · Newport County 26%, draw 33%, York 41%51' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 33%, York 42%52' · 0–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 33%, York 43%53' · 0–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 33%, York 43%54' · 0–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 33%, York 44%55' · 1–1 · Newport County 47%, draw 39%, York 14%56' · 1–1 · Newport County 47%, draw 40%, York 14%57' · 1–1 · Newport County 46%, draw 40%, York 14%58' · 1–1 · Newport County 46%, draw 41%, York 14%59' · 1–1 · Newport County 45%, draw 42%, York 13%60' · 1–1 · Newport County 44%, draw 42%, York 13%61' · 1–1 · Newport County 44%, draw 43%, York 13%62' · 1–1 · Newport County 43%, draw 44%, York 13%63' · 1–1 · Newport County 42%, draw 45%, York 13%64' · 1–1 · Newport County 42%, draw 45%, York 13%65' · 1–1 · Newport County 41%, draw 46%, York 13%66' · 1–1 · Newport County 40%, draw 47%, York 13%67' · 1–1 · Newport County 39%, draw 48%, York 13%68' · 1–1 · Newport County 39%, draw 49%, York 13%69' · 1–1 · Newport County 38%, draw 50%, York 12%70' · 1–1 · Newport County 37%, draw 51%, York 12%71' · 1–1 · Newport County 36%, draw 52%, York 12%72' · 1–1 · Newport County 36%, draw 53%, York 12%73' · 1–1 · Newport County 35%, draw 54%, York 12%74' · 1–1 · Newport County 34%, draw 55%, York 11%75' · 1–1 · Newport County 33%, draw 56%, York 11%76' · 1–1 · Newport County 32%, draw 57%, York 11%77' · 1–1 · Newport County 31%, draw 58%, York 11%78' · 1–1 · Newport County 30%, draw 60%, York 10%79' · 1–1 · Newport County 29%, draw 61%, York 10%80' · 1–1 · Newport County 28%, draw 63%, York 10%81' · 1–1 · Newport County 27%, draw 64%, York 10%82' · 1–1 · Newport County 25%, draw 65%, York 9%83' · 1–1 · Newport County 24%, draw 67%, York 9%84' · 1–1 · Newport County 23%, draw 69%, York 8%85' · 1–1 · Newport County 22%, draw 70%, York 8%86' · 1–1 · Newport County 20%, draw 72%, York 8%87' · 1–1 · Newport County 19%, draw 74%, York 7%88' · 1–1 · Newport County 17%, draw 76%, York 7%89' · 1–1 · Newport County 16%, draw 78%, York 6%90' · 1–1 · Newport County 14%, draw 81%, York 5%90+1' · 1–1 · Newport County 12%, draw 83%, York 5%90+2' · 1–1 · Newport County 10%, draw 86%, York 4%90+3' · 1–1 · Newport County 8%, draw 89%, York 3%90+4' · 1–1 · Newport County 6%, draw 92%, York 2%90+5' · 1–1 · Newport County 4%, draw 95%, York 1%90+6' · 1–1 · Newport County 1%, draw 98%, York 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Newport County 44% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 4'York:Ollie Pearce 1447 +8 assist Alex Hunt 1609 +6
  2. 17'Newport County:M. Dibley-Dias 1740 −1
  3. 24'York:jovan malcolm 1336 +2
  4. 45'Newport County:Matthew Smith 1625 −1 for Matty Jacobs 1731 −1
  5. 47'York:Ollie Pearce 1447 +8
  6. 52'Newport County:Kion Etete 1652 −9* for M. Dibley-Dias 1740 −1
  7. 53'York:Joey Grey 1587 +3
  8. 54'Newport County:Kion Etete 1652 −9* assist Tanatswa Nyakuhwa 1601 0
  9. 55'York:Jack Hunt 1500 −6 for Joseph Rabole Felix 1338 +4
  10. 72'York:Arthur Read 1655 −8* for Alex Hunt 1609 +6
  11. 72'York:Alex Newby 1561 −2 for Joey Grey 1587 +3
  12. 72'York:Frankie Maguire 1411 +1 for Ollie Pearce 1447 +8
  13. 76'Newport County:Kieron Thomas Evans 1498 0 for Yahya Bamba 1047 −1
  14. 76'Newport County:Gerard Garner 1590 −1 for Tanatswa Nyakuhwa 1601 0
  15. 79'Newport County:Harrison Biggins 1609 −3
  16. 82'York:Ashley Palmer 1595 −13* for Ryan Fallowfield 1543 +7
  17. 87'Newport County:Kion Etete 1652 −9*
  18. 89'Newport County:Michael Adu-Poku 1491 0 for Shaquille Gwengwe 1524 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GJ. Wright1641−1
DC. Norman1571−3
DL. Jenkins1614−1
DK. Cameron1677−5
DM. Jacob1731−1
MM. Dibley-Dias1740−1
MC. Brennan15860
MY. Bamba1047−1
MH. Biggins1609−3
MS. Gwengwe15240
FT. Nyakuhwa16010
CH. Mullins1630−1
GAlfie Shane McNally1528+4
DR. Fallowfield1543+7
DZ. Johnson1543+11
DM. Kitching1516+2
MJ. Felix1338+4
MA. Hunt1609+6
MO. Banks1690−4
MH. Boyes1750+4
MJ. Grey1587+3
MJ. Malcolm1336+2
FO. Pearce1447+8
CS. Lindsey1686+4
Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%(Newport County · draw · York)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Newport County €164K, York €163K.
  • Newport County were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Newport County

12th in League Two · 13 pts from 10

  • 10 OctWColchester 1590
  • 6 OctDPlymouth 1513
  • 3 OctDGillingham 1609
  • 26 SepWGrimsby 1545
  • 22 SepWSwindon Town 1419

York

5th in League Two · 15 pts from 9

  • 10 OctDNorthampton 1570
  • 26 SepWGillingham 1507
  • 22 SepDRotherham 1417
  • 19 SepLChesterfield 1532
  • 15 SepLNewcastle United U21 1426

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Newport County13 /1059.3<1%4%8%15th
York15 /957.80%3%11%14th
Newport County
York

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Jacob
M. Jacob

Newport County · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1732

R. Fallowfield
R. Fallowfield

York · +2.1 (Elite) · Elo 1536

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Hayden Ian Mullins

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Scott Lindsey

Coach DNA: possession-based

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.