FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Newport County vs Walsall
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Rodney Parade, Newport
Newport County host Walsall on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Newport County 38%, draw 29%, Walsall 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Newport County €154K, Walsall €240K.
- Home advantage makes Newport County the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (League Two): Newport County rank #24 of 25, Walsall #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Newport County goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Newport County 1587 · Walsall 1669
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Newport County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1572
Walsall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Newport County
16th in League Two · 15 pts from 13
- 24 OctLCheltenham England League Two1566
- 20 OctDRotherham England League Two1596
- 17 OctDYork England League Two1574
- 10 OctWColchester England League Two1590
- 6 OctDPlymouth England EFL Trophy1513
Walsall
6th in League Two · 19 pts from 12
- 26 OctLSalford City England League Two1689
- 20 OctWOldham England League Two1629
- 17 OctDSwindon Town England League Two1655
- 13 OctWFulham U21 England EFL Trophy1469
- 10 OctDFleetwood Town England League Two1660
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Newport County: balanced profile (how H. Mullins plays) · Walsall: direct (how Lee Grant plays)