Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Newells Old Boys host Union Santa Fe on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Newells Old Boys 53%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Newells Old Boys €1.0M, Union Santa Fe €468K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Newells Old Boys goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Newells Old Boys 1722 · Union Santa Fe 1604
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Newells Old Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1818
Union Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1558
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Newells Old Boys
14th in Liga Profesional · 15 pts from 16
- 12 OctLGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1755
- 3 OctDLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1751
- 20 SepWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1727
- 11 SepDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 6 SepDRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1728
Union Santa Fe
8th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 10 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1612
- 3 OctLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 12 SepLTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1628
- 8 SepWInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1613
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 15 /16 | 21.0 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 25th |
| Union Santa Fe | 21 /16 | 25.3 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Newells Old Boys: balanced profile (how Frank Darío Kudelka plays) · Union Santa Fe: balanced profile (how Leonardo Carol Madelón plays)