Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Newcastle vs Everton
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle host Everton on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Newcastle 44%, draw 28%, Everton 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Newcastle €29.1M, Everton €24.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Newcastle goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Newcastle 2303 · Everton 2270
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Newcastle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2397
Everton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2380
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Newcastle
11th in Premier League · 8 pts from 7
- 17 OctLAston Villa Premier League2358
- 12 OctLCoventry Premier League2368
- 19 SepWHull City Premier League2288
- 14 SepLLeeds Premier League2350
- 8 SepWMillwall England League Cup2349
Everton
8th in Premier League · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctLChelsea Premier League2322
- 11 OctDHull City Premier League2326
- 19 SepWIpswich Premier League2328
- 16 SepWWolves England League Cup2272
- 12 SepDTottenham Premier League2271
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 8 /7 | 49.5 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 11th |
| Everton | 10 /7 | 49.2 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Newcastle: balanced profile (how Matthias Jaissle plays) · Everton: direct (how David William Moyes plays)