A-League · Regular Season - 2
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 04:00 UTC · McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Newcastle Jets host Macarthur on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Newcastle Jets 37%, draw 29%, Macarthur 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Newcastle Jets €359K, Macarthur €331K.
- Home advantage makes Newcastle Jets the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (A-League): Newcastle Jets rank #3 of 12, Macarthur #9.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Newcastle Jets goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Newcastle Jets 1568 · Macarthur 1572
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 1 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Newcastle Jets · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1625
Macarthur · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1673
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Newcastle Jets
5th in A-League · 1 pts from 1
- 17 OctDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1559
- 13 OctLGamba Osaka AFC Champions League1604
- 15 SepLKashima AFC Champions League1637
- 16 MayDSydney A-League1742
- 9 MayDSydney A-League1725
Macarthur
3rd in A-League · 3 pts from 1
- 17 OctWPerth Glory A-League1551
- 24 AprWWellington Phoenix A-League1529
- 19 AprLAdelaide United A-League1576
- 12 AprLPerth Glory A-League1587
- 2 AprWNewcastle Jets A-League1572
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1 /1 | 34.9 | 4% | 28% | 22% | 8th |
| Macarthur | 3 /1 | 36.7 | 7% | 36% | 15% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Newcastle Jets: balanced profile (how Mark Milligan plays) · Macarthur: balanced profile (how Mile Sterjovski plays)