Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York Red Bulls host Inter Miami on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: New York Red Bulls 24%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: New York Red Bulls €2.0M, Inter Miami €4.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 31: 289 points.
- MLS: D. St. Clair is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2159).
- Inter Miami's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.8 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Inter Miami's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. New York Red Bulls goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: New York Red Bulls 1842 · Inter Miami 2131
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
New York Red Bulls · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 (Good) · Elo 1710
Inter Miami · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +11.3 (Elite) · Elo 2124
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
New York Red Bulls
8th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 17 OctLToronto FC MLS1875
- 14 OctLDC United MLS1881
- 10 OctWSan Diego MLS1862
- 30 SepLSt. Louis City MLS1793
- 18 SepWNew York City FC MLS1840
Inter Miami
2nd in MLS · 55 pts from 30
- 17 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS2103
- 14 OctWNew York City FC MLS2088
- 10 OctWDC United MLS2083
- 27 SepLColumbus Crew MLS2092
- 12 SepDNashville SC MLS2120
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 36 /30 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 22nd |
| Inter Miami | 55 /30 | 62.3 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
New York Red Bulls: balanced profile (how Michael Bradley plays) · Inter Miami: possession-based (how Kily Gonzalez plays)