Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York Red Bulls host Atlanta United FC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: New York Red Bulls 35%, draw 29%, Atlanta United FC 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: New York Red Bulls €2.0M, Atlanta United FC €2.8M.
- MLS: B. Embolo is the highest-rated forward (2255).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. New York Red Bulls goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: New York Red Bulls 1843 · Atlanta United FC 1963
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
New York Red Bulls · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 (Good) · Elo 1710
Atlanta United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2030
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
New York Red Bulls
9th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 17 OctLToronto FC MLS1875
- 14 OctLDC United MLS1881
- 10 OctWSan Diego MLS1862
- 30 SepLSt. Louis City MLS1793
- 18 SepWNew York City FC MLS1840
Atlanta United FC
14th in MLS · 30 pts from 30
- 17 OctLInter Miami MLS1982
- 14 OctWCF Montreal MLS1920
- 10 OctLFC Cincinnati MLS1944
- 26 SepDNew York City FC MLS1870
- 20 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1908
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 36 /30 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 23rd |
| Atlanta United FC | 30 /30 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 28th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
New York Red Bulls: balanced profile (how Michael Bradley plays) · Atlanta United FC: balanced profile (how G. Martino plays)