Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Citi Field, Flushing
New York City FCTeam 1935
Los Angeles FCTeam 2031Match story
New York City FC · draw · Los Angeles FCBefore kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%
Last reading, 90+3': 5% · 89% · 5%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Andrés Perea 59'
- Leo Walta 45+1'
We gave New York City FC 37% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Hannes Wolf 1954 −128'
New York City FC:Hannes Wolf 1954 −1 - Aiden O'Neill 1950 −244'
New York City FC:Aiden O'Neill 1950 −2 - 45+1'Leo Walta 1907 +5
Los Angeles FC:Leo Walta 1907 +5 - Agustin Ojeda 1956 054'
New York City FC:Agustin Ojeda 1956 0 - 58'Mathieu Choinière 2049 0 for Igor Jesus 1992 +2
Los Angeles FC:Mathieu Choinière 2049 0 for Igor Jesus 1992 +2 - Andrés Perea 1938 −1 assist Nicolás Fernández Mercau 1920 −159'
New York City FC:Andrés Perea 1938 −1 assist Nicolás Fernández Mercau 1920 −1 - 66'Armindo Sieb 1900 +1 for Jacob Shaffelburg 1946 +1
Los Angeles FC:Armindo Sieb 1900 +1 for Jacob Shaffelburg 1946 +1 - 66'Sergi Palencia 2089 −2 for Ryan Hollingshead 1953 −6
Los Angeles FC:Sergi Palencia 2089 −2 for Ryan Hollingshead 1953 −6 - Talles Magno 1968 0 for Agustin Ojeda 1956 068'
New York City FC:Talles Magno 1968 0 for Agustin Ojeda 1956 0 - Bénie Adama Traoré 1865 0 for Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 1739 068'
New York City FC:Bénie Adama Traoré 1865 0 for Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 1739 0 - 85'Sergio Vasquez 1670 0 for Marky Delgado 2047 −2
Los Angeles FC:Sergio Vasquez 1670 0 for Marky Delgado 2047 −2 - 85'Ryan Porteous 2120 −1 for Aaron Long 1988 −3
Los Angeles FC:Ryan Porteous 2120 −1 for Aaron Long 1988 −3
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 29% · 34%(New York City FC · draw · Los Angeles FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: New York City FC €2.8M, Los Angeles FC €2.6M.
- Home advantage made New York City FC the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
New York City FC
10th in MLS · 33 pts from 29
- 14 OctLInter Miami MLS1939
- 10 OctLChicago Fire MLS1964
- 26 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS1918
- 18 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1953
- 13 SepWReal Salt Lake MLS1916
Los Angeles FC
6th in MLS · 45 pts from 30
- 15 OctWAustin MLS1999
- 11 OctDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1997
- 27 SepLFC Dallas MLS1983
- 19 SepDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS2044
- 13 SepLSporting Kansas City MLS2024
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 33 /29 | 40.3 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 20th |
| Los Angeles FC | 45 /30 | 51.1 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

New York City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 1922

Los Angeles FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1982
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
New York City FC: balanced profile (how Pascal Jansen plays) · Los Angeles FC: dribble-heavy (how Marc Dos Santos plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.