Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
New York City FC vs CF Montreal
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Yankee Stadium, New York
New York City FC host CF Montreal on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: New York City FC 58%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: New York City FC €2.3M, CF Montreal €883K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. New York City FC goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: New York City FC 1917 · CF Montreal 1760
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
New York City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.5 (Elite) · Elo 1920
CF Montreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 (Average) · Elo 1824
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
New York City FC
11th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 17 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS1924
- 14 OctLInter Miami MLS1939
- 10 OctLChicago Fire MLS1964
- 26 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS1918
- 18 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1953
CF Montreal
15th in MLS · 25 pts from 30
- 18 OctDSeattle Sounders MLS1710
- 14 OctLAtlanta United FC MLS1787
- 10 OctLToronto FC MLS1822
- 26 SepWFC Cincinnati MLS1802
- 19 SepLColumbus Crew MLS1765
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 34 /30 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 20th |
| CF Montreal | 25 /30 | 28.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 29th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
New York City FC: balanced profile (how Pascal Jansen plays) · CF Montreal: balanced profile (how Philippe Eullaffroy plays)