Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Gillette Stadium, Boston
New England Revolution host New York Red Bulls on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: New England Revolution 54%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: New England Revolution €2.5M, New York Red Bulls €2.0M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. New England Revolution goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: New England Revolution 1957 · New York Red Bulls 1842
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
New England Revolution · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2055
New York Red Bulls · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 (Good) · Elo 1710
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
New England Revolution
3rd in MLS · 52 pts from 30
- 17 OctWChicago Fire MLS1983
- 14 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1957
- 10 OctLSeattle Sounders MLS1953
- 27 SepLReal Salt Lake MLS1892
- 19 SepWOrlando City SC MLS1997
New York Red Bulls
8th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 17 OctLToronto FC MLS1875
- 14 OctLDC United MLS1881
- 10 OctWSan Diego MLS1862
- 30 SepLSt. Louis City MLS1793
- 18 SepWNew York City FC MLS1840
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 52 /30 | 57.2 | 0% | 28% | 0% | 5th |
| New York Red Bulls | 36 /30 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
New England Revolution: balanced profile (how Marko Mićović plays) · New York Red Bulls: balanced profile (how Michael Bradley plays)