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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Boston Stadium, Boston

New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionTeam 1949
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Chicago Fire crestChicago FireTeam 1984

Match story

New England Revolution · draw · Chicago Fire

Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 30%

Live chances: New England Revolution 96%, draw 4%, Chicago Fire 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 42%, draw 28%, Chicago Fire 30%2' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 42%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%3' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 42%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%4' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 42%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%5' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 42%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%6' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%7' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%8' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%9' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%10' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 30%11' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 30%12' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%13' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%14' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 41%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%15' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%16' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%17' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 30%, Chicago Fire 29%18' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%19' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%20' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%21' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%22' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%23' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 40%, draw 31%, Chicago Fire 29%24' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 39%, draw 32%, Chicago Fire 29%25' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 39%, draw 32%, Chicago Fire 29%26' · 0–0 · New England Revolution 39%, draw 32%, Chicago Fire 29%27' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 68%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 11%28' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 68%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 11%29' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 68%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%30' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 68%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%31' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%32' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%33' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%34' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%35' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%36' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%37' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 10%38' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%39' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%40' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 69%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%41' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%42' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%43' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%44' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%45' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 9%45+1' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%45+2' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 70%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%HT · 1–0 · New England Revolution 71%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%47' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 71%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%48' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 71%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%49' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 71%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 8%50' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 71%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%51' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 72%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%52' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 72%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%53' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 72%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%54' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 72%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%55' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 73%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 7%56' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 73%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 6%57' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 73%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 6%58' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 73%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 6%59' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 74%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 6%60' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 74%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 6%61' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 74%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 5%62' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 75%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 5%63' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 75%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 5%64' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 75%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 5%65' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 76%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 5%66' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 76%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 4%67' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 76%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 4%68' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 77%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 4%69' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 77%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 4%70' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 77%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 4%71' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 78%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 4%72' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 78%, draw 18%, Chicago Fire 3%73' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 79%, draw 18%, Chicago Fire 3%74' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 79%, draw 18%, Chicago Fire 3%75' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 80%, draw 17%, Chicago Fire 3%76' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 80%, draw 17%, Chicago Fire 3%77' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 81%, draw 17%, Chicago Fire 2%78' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 82%, draw 16%, Chicago Fire 2%79' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 82%, draw 16%, Chicago Fire 2%80' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 83%, draw 15%, Chicago Fire 2%81' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 83%, draw 15%, Chicago Fire 2%82' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 84%, draw 14%, Chicago Fire 2%83' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 85%, draw 14%, Chicago Fire 1%84' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 86%, draw 13%, Chicago Fire 1%85' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 86%, draw 12%, Chicago Fire 1%86' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 87%, draw 12%, Chicago Fire 1%87' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 88%, draw 11%, Chicago Fire 1%88' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 89%, draw 10%, Chicago Fire 1%89' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 90%, draw 9%, Chicago Fire 1%90' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 91%, draw 8%, Chicago Fire 0%90+1' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 92%, draw 7%, Chicago Fire 0%90+2' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 94%, draw 6%, Chicago Fire 0%90+3' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 95%, draw 5%, Chicago Fire 0%90+4' · 1–0 · New England Revolution 96%, draw 4%, Chicago Fire 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 4% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave New England Revolution 42% to win: they did.

  1. 26'New England Revolution:Matt Polster 1969 +27 assist Carles Gil 2055 +18
  2. 58'Chicago Fire:Andrew Gutman 2003 −13*
  3. 65'New England Revolution:Dániel Gazdag 1986 +5 for Luca Daniel·Langoni 1975 +8
  4. 67'Chicago Fire:Puso Dithejane 1697 0 for Jonathan Bamba 2004 −5
  5. 67'Chicago Fire:Noah Allen 2116 −3 for Andrew Gutman 2003 −13*
  6. 68'Chicago Fire:Anzor Mekvabishvili 1867 0 for Djé D'Avilla 2061 −6
  7. 75'New England Revolution:Jackson Yueill 1744 +3 for William Sands 2063 +19
  8. 79'New England Revolution:Ethan Kohler 2000 +30
  9. 79'Chicago Fire:Johan Arath Gomez 1755 0 for Leonardo Barroso 1931 0
  10. 86'New England Revolution:Tanner·Beason 1810 +1 for Dor Turgeman 2119 +6
  11. 87'New England Revolution:Cody Baker 1694 +2 for Ilay Feingold 2021 +26

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-3-3
GM. Turner2116+17
DI. Feingold2021+26
DE. Kohler2000+30
DJ. Wynder1865+44
DW. Sands2063+19
MCarles Gil2055+18
MB. Raines2068+23
MM. Polster1969+27
FL. Langoni1975+8
FD. Turgeman2119+6
FP. Miller2087+8
CM. Mićović1510+58
GC. Brady2054−7
DLeonardo Barroso19310
DA. Hanche-Olsen1953−3
DM. Mbokazi2019−15
DA. Gutman2003−13*
MA. Salétros1985−12
MT. D'Avilla2061−6
MM. Haile-Selassie2026−6
FP. Zinckernagel2019−9
FR. Lewandowski2019−17
FJ. Bamba2004−5
CG. Berhalter1965−4
Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 30%(New England Revolution · draw · Chicago Fire)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: New England Revolution €2.4M, Chicago Fire €3.0M.
  • New England Revolution were without 1 expected starter: M. Fofana (2112).
  • Chicago Fire were without 1 expected starter: J. Elliott (2073).
  • Home advantage made New England Revolution the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

New England Revolution

3rd in MLS · 49 pts from 29

  • 14 OctWFC Cincinnati 1957
  • 10 OctLSeattle Sounders 1953
  • 27 SepLReal Salt Lake 1892
  • 19 SepWOrlando City SC 1997
  • 13 SepWChicago Fire 1933

Chicago Fire

4th in MLS · 48 pts from 29

  • 15 OctLPhiladelphia Union 2007
  • 10 OctWNew York City FC 2013
  • 7 OctWVancouver Whitecaps 1950
  • 26 SepWCharlotte 1917
  • 20 SepLNashville SC 2001

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
New England Revolution49 /2955.70%16%0%6th
Chicago Fire48 /2954.90%11%0%7th
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Carles Gil
Carles Gil

New England Revolution · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2037

P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel

Chicago Fire · +3.4 (Good) · Elo 2028

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marko Mićović

Coach DNA: –

Gregg Matthew Berhalter

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

New England Revolution: balanced profile (how Marko Mićović plays) · Chicago Fire: balanced profile (how Gregg Matthew Berhalter plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.