Pro League · Regular Season - 14
NEOM vs Al Kholood
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
NEOM host Al Kholood on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NEOM 63%, draw 22%, Al Kholood 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEOM €2.2M, Al Kholood €648K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NEOM goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: NEOM 1996 · Al Kholood 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEOM · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2282
Al Kholood · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1816
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEOM
5th in Saudi Pro League · 22 pts from 12
- 30 OctWAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1939
- 24 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League1955
- 20 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1976
- 17 OctLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2002
- 10 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2043
Al Kholood
11th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 29 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1719
- 24 OctLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1740
- 15 OctLAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1768
- 9 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1689
- 13 SepLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1842
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 22 /12 | 56.0 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 6th |
| Al Kholood | 12 /11 | 32.9 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEOM: balanced profile (how Christophe Galtier plays) · Al Kholood: dribble-heavy · direct (how Desmond Buckingham plays)