Pro League · Regular Season - 9
NEOM 0–1 Al-Ettifaq
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:40 UTC · King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk
NEOMTeam 1990Al-EttifaqTeam 1835We gave NEOM 52% to win: Al-Ettifaq won.
- Alexandre Lacazette –32'NEOM:Alexandre Lacazette –
- 45'Abdullah Al-Khateeb – for Radhi Al Oteibi –Al-Ettifaq:Abdullah Al-Khateeb – for Radhi Al Oteibi –
- 54'Matija Gluscevic – for Sultan Ali HuranAl-Ettifaq:Matija Gluscevic – for Sultan Ali Huran
- 60'Abdoulaye Kanté –Al-Ettifaq:Abdoulaye Kanté –
- 60'Yasir Al-Shammari – for Khalid Al-Ghannam –Al-Ettifaq:Yasir Al-Shammari – for Khalid Al-Ghannam –
- Muhanad Al Saad – for Georgios Masouras –74'NEOM:Muhanad Al Saad – for Georgios Masouras –
- 78'Abdalellah Hawsawi – for Ondrej Duda –Al-Ettifaq:Abdalellah Hawsawi – for Ondrej Duda –
- 78'Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi – for Jordan Larsson –Al-Ettifaq:Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi – for Jordan Larsson –
- 81'Matija Gluscevic –Al-Ettifaq:Matija Gluscevic –
- Khalil Al-Absi – for Mohannad Abu Taha –81'NEOM:Khalil Al-Absi – for Mohannad Abu Taha –
- Abbas Al Hassan – for Valentín Vada –81'NEOM:Abbas Al Hassan – for Valentín Vada –
- 82'Abdullah Al-Khateeb – assist Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi –Al-Ettifaq:Abdullah Al-Khateeb – assist Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi –
- Haroune Camara – for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari –89'NEOM:Haroune Camara – for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari –
- Mohammed Al-Burayk – for Khalifah Al-Dawsari –89'NEOM:Mohammed Al-Burayk – for Khalifah Al-Dawsari –
Before kick-off (provisional): 52% · 26% · 22%(NEOM · draw · Al-Ettifaq)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEOM €2.4M, Al-Ettifaq €1.3M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEOM
5th in Saudi Pro League · 16 pts from 8
- 10 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2042
- 13 SepWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1993
- 7 SepWAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1920
- 3 SepWAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1904
- 28 AugLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1900
Al-Ettifaq
7th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 8
- 10 OctDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1909
- 11 SepDAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1803
- 8 SepDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1883
- 4 SepWAbha Saudi Pro League1848
- 29 AugLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1842
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 16 /8 | 57.0 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
| Al-Ettifaq | 12 /8 | 43.1 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEOM · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2269
Al-Ettifaq · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1929
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEOM: balanced profile (how Christophe Galtier plays) · Al-Ettifaq: balanced profile (how Arthur Thomas Papastamatiou plays)