Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
Neftchi Baku 0–0 Sabah FA
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Neftchi BakuTeam 1592Sabah FATeam 1749We gave Sabah FA 47% to win: it ended in a draw.
Before kick-off (provisional): 25% · 28% · 47%(Neftchi Baku · draw · Sabah FA)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Neftchi Baku €407K, Sabah FA €921K.
- K. Pirić, Unknown (581320), E. Safarov, F. Vargas and A. Shtogrin (Neftchi Baku) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Neftchi Baku
1st in Premyer Liqa · 15 pts from 6
- 30 JulWDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1581
- 22 JulLDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1613
- 5 MayWKarvan Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1529
- 5 AprWSumqayıt Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1575
- 20 MarWImisli FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1525
Sabah FA
2nd in Premyer Liqa · 15 pts from 5
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1779
- 25 AugWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1787
- 19 AugLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1818
- 11 AugWAarhus UEFA Champions League1760
- 5 AugLAarhus UEFA Champions League1796
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 15 /6 | 57.3 | 3% | 83% | 0% | 3rd |
| Sabah FA | 15 /5 | 70.4 | 57% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1816
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile