Liga MX · Apertura - 14
Necaxa vs FC Juarez
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Necaxa host FC Juarez on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Necaxa 48%, draw 27%, FC Juarez 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Necaxa €2.0M, FC Juarez €1.9M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Necaxa goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Necaxa 1838 · FC Juarez 1803
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Necaxa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1690
FC Juarez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1748
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Necaxa
17th in Liga MX · 9 pts from 12
- 17 OctLAtlas Liga MX1801
- 11 OctDCF Pachuca Liga MX1797
- 28 SepLClub America Liga MX1808
- 19 SepLAtletico San Luis Liga MX1834
- 12 SepLPuebla Liga MX1830
FC Juarez
18th in Liga MX · 4 pts from 12
- 18 OctLCruz Azul Liga MX1729
- 10 OctDClub Tijuana Liga MX1786
- 28 SepLLeon Liga MX1787
- 19 SepWTigres UANL Liga MX1801
- 14 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1835
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 9 /12 | 15.2 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 17th |
| FC Juarez | 4 /12 | 11.1 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Necaxa: direct (how Martín Varini Di Zioli plays) · FC Juarez: balanced profile (how Tomás Alberto Campos Alejandre plays)