Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen host PSV Eindhoven on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NEC Nijmegen 18%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 57%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEC Nijmegen €2.0M, PSV Eindhoven €10.2M.
- Eredivisie: S. Dest is the highest-rated defender (2365).
- PSV Eindhoven's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NEC Nijmegen goals first.
- 1–110%
- 1–29%
- 2–28%
- 1–37%
- 0–27%
- 0–15%
- Other scores54%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: NEC Nijmegen 1887 · PSV Eindhoven 2225
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Average) · Elo 1999
PSV Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2365
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
11th in Eredivisie · 14 pts from 12
- 8 NovWUtrecht Eredivisie1900
- 5 NovWOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1880
- 31 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1894
- 25 OctDGroningen Eredivisie1908
- 22 OctWDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1878
PSV Eindhoven
1st in Eredivisie · 26 pts from 12
- 8 NovWCambuur Eredivisie2223
- 4 NovLClub Brugge KV UEFA Champions League2228
- 31 OctWWillem II Eredivisie2262
- 25 OctDFeyenoord Eredivisie2230
- 20 OctWFC Porto UEFA Champions League2188
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 14 /12 | 43.7 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| PSV Eindhoven | 26 /12 | 74.1 | 59% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · PSV Eindhoven: possession-based · creative (how Peter Bosz plays)