Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen host Groningen on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NEC Nijmegen 36%, draw 29%, Groningen 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEC Nijmegen €1.7M, Groningen €2.0M.
- Home advantage makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NEC Nijmegen goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: NEC Nijmegen 1805 · Groningen 1871
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1913
Groningen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1980
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
12th in Eredivisie · 10 pts from 9
- 18 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1842
- 15 OctDLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1844
- 10 OctDAjax Eredivisie1821
- 20 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1789
- 17 SepLJuventus UEFA Europa League1800
Groningen
7th in Eredivisie · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctLAjax Eredivisie1920
- 11 OctWExcelsior Eredivisie1882
- 18 SepWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie1863
- 12 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1855
- 6 SepDTwente Eredivisie1860
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 10 /9 | 39.9 | 0% | <1% | 9% | 11th |
| Groningen | 14 /9 | 49.1 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · Groningen: balanced profile (how Dick Lukkien plays)