Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenTeam 1802
Fortuna SittardTeam 1738Match story
NEC Nijmegen · draw · Fortuna SittardBefore kick-off: 47% · 26% · 27%
Last reading, 90+4': 5% · 91% · 4%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kevin Kers 28'
- Willum Thor Willumsson 90+3'
- Anthony Descotte 18', 48'
We gave NEC Nijmegen 47% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 18'Anthony Descotte 1700 +19 assist Rodrigo Guth 1805 +4
Fortuna Sittard:Anthony Descotte 1700 +19 assist Rodrigo Guth 1805 +4 - Kevin Kers 1597 0 assist Dennis Geiger 1747 −128'
NEC Nijmegen:Kevin Kers 1597 0 assist Dennis Geiger 1747 −1 - 38'Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6
Fortuna Sittard:Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6 - 45'Kristoffer Peterson 1605 +1 for Sven Simons 1528 +6
Fortuna Sittard:Kristoffer Peterson 1605 +1 for Sven Simons 1528 +6 - 48'Anthony Descotte 1700 +19 assist Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6
Fortuna Sittard:Anthony Descotte 1700 +19 assist Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6 - 54'Rodrigo Guth 1805 +4
Fortuna Sittard:Rodrigo Guth 1805 +4 - Mitchel Bakker 2128 −3 for Deveron Fonville 1929 063'
NEC Nijmegen:Mitchel Bakker 2128 −3 for Deveron Fonville 1929 0 - Kaj Sierhuis 1757 −8* for Noe Lebreton 1915 063'
NEC Nijmegen:Kaj Sierhuis 1757 −8* for Noe Lebreton 1915 0 - Adam Tahaui 1739 −8* for Kevin Kers 1597 063'
NEC Nijmegen:Adam Tahaui 1739 −8* for Kevin Kers 1597 0 - 70'Daley Sinkgraven 1710 −1 for Lequincio Zeefuik 1749 +5
Fortuna Sittard:Daley Sinkgraven 1710 −1 for Lequincio Zeefuik 1749 +5 - 81'Siebe Wylin 1695 +1 for Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6
Fortuna Sittard:Siebe Wylin 1695 +1 for Shiloh 't Zand 1692 +6 - Perr Schuurs 2002 0 for Jamiro Monteiro 1764 −584'
NEC Nijmegen:Perr Schuurs 2002 0 for Jamiro Monteiro 1764 −5 - Willum Thor Willumsson 1931 −1 for Tobias Storm 1750 084'
NEC Nijmegen:Willum Thor Willumsson 1931 −1 for Tobias Storm 1750 0 - 86'Nick de Groot 1649 −7* for Syb Van Ottele 1742 +6
Fortuna Sittard:Nick de Groot 1649 −7* for Syb Van Ottele 1742 +6 - Mitchel Bakker 2128 −3 (penalty missed)90'
NEC Nijmegen:Mitchel Bakker 2128 −3 (penalty missed) - Willum Thor Willumsson 1931 −1 assist Perr Schuurs 2002 090+3'
NEC Nijmegen:Willum Thor Willumsson 1931 −1 assist Perr Schuurs 2002 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 26% · 27%(NEC Nijmegen · draw · Fortuna Sittard)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: NEC Nijmegen €2.0M, Fortuna Sittard €999K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
11th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 8
- 15 OctDLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1844
- 10 OctDAjax Eredivisie1821
- 20 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1789
- 17 SepLJuventus UEFA Europa League1800
- 12 SepLCambuur Eredivisie1822
Fortuna Sittard
7th in Eredivisie · 14 pts from 8
- 10 OctDTwente Eredivisie1777
- 19 SepWWillem II Eredivisie1766
- 12 SepLAjax Eredivisie1782
- 6 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1750
- 28 AugWGroningen Eredivisie1717
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 9 /8 | 38.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 12th |
| Fortuna Sittard | 14 /8 | 45.2 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1914

Fortuna Sittard · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1737
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · Fortuna Sittard: direct (how Danny Buijs plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.