1. Division · Regular Season - 7
Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Nea Salamis host Pafos on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nea Salamis 15%, draw 22%, Pafos 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nea Salamis €230K, Pafos €1.4M.
- 1. Division: R. Majecki is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1996).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nea Salamis goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Nea Salamis 1451 · Pafos 1798
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nea Salamis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1644
Pafos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nea Salamis
11th in 1. Division · 4 pts from 6
- 17 OctLApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1481
- 10 OctLApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1337
- 19 SepWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1417
- 11 SepLAEL Cypriot First Division1374
- 6 SepLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1462
Pafos
5th in 1. Division · 10 pts from 5
- 15 OctLAtalanta UEFA Conference League1800
- 11 OctWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1799
- 18 SepLAEL Cypriot First Division1774
- 13 SepWAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1757
- 7 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1783
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis | 4 /6 | 26.1 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 9th |
| Pafos | 10 /5 | 50.4 | 17% | 82% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Coach DNA: balanced profile