Super League · Regular Season - 24
Navbahor 1–1 Pakhtakor
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
NavbahorTeam 1565PakhtakorTeam 1645- M. Khamraliev 84'
- Flamarion 43'
We gave Pakhtakor 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 31'S. Sobirkhuzhaev –Pakhtakor:S. Sobirkhuzhaev –
- 35'D. Saitov –Pakhtakor:D. Saitov –
- D. Komilov –40'Navbahor:D. Komilov –
- 43'Flamarion –Pakhtakor:Flamarion –
- U. Adkhamzoda – for D. Komilov –46'Navbahor:U. Adkhamzoda – for D. Komilov –
- 49'M. Abdumazhidov –Pakhtakor:M. Abdumazhidov –
- R. Jiyanov – (penalty missed) assist R. Jiyanov –57'Navbahor:R. Jiyanov – (penalty missed) assist R. Jiyanov –
- V. Ilic –58'Navbahor:V. Ilic –
- J. Jaloliddinov – for V. Ilic –63'Navbahor:J. Jaloliddinov – for V. Ilic –
- 65'A. Hussein – for S. Chinedu –Pakhtakor:A. Hussein – for S. Chinedu –
- 65'B. Resan – for D. Khamdamov –Pakhtakor:B. Resan – for D. Khamdamov –
- J. Kojo – for K. Norchaev –68'Navbahor:J. Kojo – for K. Norchaev –
- 77'O. Bozorov –Pakhtakor:O. Bozorov –
- 81'M. Karimov – for D. Saitov –Pakhtakor:M. Karimov – for D. Saitov –
- M. Khamraliev –84'Navbahor:M. Khamraliev –
- A. Rakhimzhonov – for B. Teidi –88'Navbahor:A. Rakhimzhonov – for B. Teidi –
- 90+5'Navbahor:
Before kick-off (provisional): 35% · 29% · 36%(Navbahor · draw · Pakhtakor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Navbahor €347K, Pakhtakor €495K.
- Super League: K. Alijonov was the highest-rated defender (1791).
- K. Kati and Alex (Navbahor) had not played for over 90 days.
- Navbahor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Pakhtakor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Navbahor
3rd in Super League · 45 pts from 23
- 7 AugWSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1574
- 23 AprDSogdiana Uzbekistan Super League1583
- 17 AprWLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1569
- 12 AprWSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1520
- 7 AprWAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1539
Pakhtakor
2nd in Super League · 52 pts from 23
- 12 OctDAl-Qadisiyah FC AFC Champions League1641
- 11 AugWAl Hussein AFC Champions League1634
- 1 AugDAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1613
- 28 AprDNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1662
- 22 AprWBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1657
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navbahor | 45 /23 | 56.4 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 3rd |
| Pakhtakor | 52 /23 | 64.7 | 46% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pakhtakor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1677
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –