Serie B · Regular Season - 37
Nautico Recife vs CRB
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Nautico Recife host CRB on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nautico Recife 35%, draw 29%, CRB 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nautico Recife €241K, CRB €419K.
- CRB's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nautico Recife goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Nautico Recife 1547 · CRB 1684
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nautico Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1617
CRB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +9.0 (Elite) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nautico Recife
15th in Serie B · 43 pts from 34
- 19 OctDGoias Brazil Serie B1570
- 11 OctLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1504
- 8 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1563
- 3 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1560
- 26 SepWSport Recife Brazil Serie B1536
CRB
8th in Serie B · 52 pts from 34
- 18 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1717
- 12 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1713
- 7 OctWAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1690
- 2 OctLSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1705
- 27 SepWCuiaba Brazil Serie B1681
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 43 /34 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 16th |
| CRB | 52 /34 | 58.4 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume · possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nautico Recife: balanced profile (how Bruno Pivetti plays) · CRB: balanced profile (how Fábio Matias plays)