Serie B · Regular Season - 36
Nautico Recife vs Avai
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Nautico Recife host Avai on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nautico Recife 38%, draw 29%, Avai 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nautico Recife €230K, Avai €379K.
- Home advantage makes Nautico Recife the favourite here: it adds 11 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nautico Recife goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Nautico Recife 1540 · Avai 1636
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nautico Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1615
Avai · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1614
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nautico Recife
16th in Serie B · 42 pts from 33
- 11 OctLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1504
- 8 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1563
- 3 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1560
- 26 SepWSport Recife Brazil Serie B1536
- 22 SepLCuiaba Brazil Serie B1535
Avai
17th in Serie B · 37 pts from 34
- 18 OctDAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1651
- 11 OctWCuiaba Brazil Serie B1624
- 7 OctWLondrina Brazil Serie B1600
- 3 OctLCeara Brazil Serie B1564
- 27 SepLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1619
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 42 /33 | 47.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
| Avai | 37 /34 | 43.0 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume · possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nautico Recife: balanced profile (how Bruno Marques Fernandes Pivetti plays) · Avai: balanced profile (how Allan Rodrigo Aal plays)