Super League · Regular Season - 25
Nasaf vs Sogdiana
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi
Nasaf host Sogdiana on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nasaf 43%, draw 28%, Sogdiana 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nasaf €313K, Sogdiana €200K.
- Q. Xushvaqtov, Z. Abdirakhmatov, M. Rakhmatov and S. Mukhitdinov (Nasaf) have not played for over 90 days.
- S. Isokov, Z. Dzhuraboev, I. Kobilov, N. Soyibov, O. Ahadov, O. Karimov, Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev, F. Ivanović and J. Kaxramonov (Sogdiana) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nasaf goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Nasaf 1466 · Sogdiana 1446
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nasaf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1557
Sogdiana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1495
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nasaf
7th in Super League · 38 pts from 24
- 14 OctLAl Wahda FC AFC Cup1526
- 28 AprDPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1458
- 23 AprLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1484
- 18 AprLNeftchi Uzbekistan Super League1471
- 13 AprDBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1476
Sogdiana
11th in Super League · 29 pts from 24
- 28 AprWSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 23 AprDNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1427
- 19 AprLBunyodkor Uzbekistan Super League1435
- 13 AprWQizilqum Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 8 AprLDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1442
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasaf | 38 /24 | 47.8 | 0% | 35% | 0% | 4th |
| Sogdiana | 29 /24 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –