Super League · Regular Season - 28
Nasaf vs Mash'al
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi
Nasaf host Mash'al on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nasaf 67%, draw 20%, Mash'al 13%.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League matchday 28: 313 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Super League average of 27% this round.
- Vladislav Rusanov, Z. Akramov, Unknown (532638), S. Abduraymov, B. Askarov, Tokhirbek To'khtasinov and Unknown (671829) (Mash'al) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nasaf goals first.
- 1–015%
- 2–014%
- 2–19%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 0–08%
- Other scores36%
Team Elo: Nasaf 1450 · Mash'al 1137
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nasaf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1515
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nasaf
4th in Super League · 45 pts from 27
- 4 NovWAl Kuwait AFC Cup1488
- 28 OctLAl Kuwait AFC Cup1506
- 14 OctLAl Wahda FC AFC Cup1515
- 28 AprDPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1450
- 23 AprLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1477
Mash'al
16th in Super League · 5 pts from 27
- 7 AugLXorazm Uzbekistan Super League1183
- 27 AprLBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1096
- 22 AprLSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1067
- 18 AprLXorazm Uzbekistan Super League1085
- 13 AprLPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1094
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasaf | 45 /27 | 50.3 | 0% | 64% | 0% | 4th |
| Mash'al | 5 /27 | 7.1 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –