Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
Nantes vs Clermont Foot
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Nantes host Clermont Foot on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nantes 61%, draw 23%, Clermont Foot 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nantes €1.9M, Clermont Foot €367K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nantes goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Nantes 1784 · Clermont Foot 1545
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nantes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1751
Clermont Foot · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1473
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nantes
14th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLDunkerque France Ligue 21793
- 10 OctDReims France Ligue 21809
- 19 SepWBoulogne France Ligue 21793
- 12 SepLSochaux France Ligue 21814
- 7 SepWNancy France Ligue 21778
Clermont Foot
16th in Ligue 2 · 7 pts from 9
- 16 OctDLaval France Ligue 21588
- 10 OctLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21526
- 18 SepDGrenoble France Ligue 21499
- 11 SepDBoulogne France Ligue 21554
- 4 SepDDunkerque France Ligue 21490
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 8 /9 | 50.3 | 1% | 24% | 1% | 6th |
| Clermont Foot | 7 /9 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nantes: direct (how Grégory Poirier plays) · Clermont Foot: balanced profile (how David Guion plays)