Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Naftan host ML Vitebsk on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Naftan 15%, draw 22%, ML Vitebsk 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Naftan €121K, ML Vitebsk €487K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 28: 412 points.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1763).
- ML Vitebsk are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Naftan goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Naftan 1236 · ML Vitebsk 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1826
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Naftan
16th in Premier League · 17 pts from 25
- 19 OctLTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1242
- 10 OctWBelshina Belarus Premier League1189
- 19 SepWSlavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League1183
- 13 SepDBate Borisov Belarus Premier League1198
- 6 SepLFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1189
ML Vitebsk
1st in Premier League · 53 pts from 24
- 18 OctWNeman Belarus Premier League1651
- 15 OctWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1667
- 11 OctWFC Gomel Belarus Premier League1628
- 18 SepWArsenal Belarus Premier League1610
- 13 SepDFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1555
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | 17 /25 | 21.5 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 16th |
| ML Vitebsk | 53 /24 | 63.2 | 76% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –