Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11
Nacional vs Academico Viseu
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Nacional host Academico Viseu on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nacional 35%, draw 29%, Academico Viseu 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nacional €572K, Academico Viseu €648K.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Primeira Liga average of 23% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nacional goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Nacional 1627 · Academico Viseu 1709
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1637
Academico Viseu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1615
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nacional
16th in Primeira Liga · 4 pts from 8
- 11 OctLRio Ave Primeira Liga1542
- 19 SepLFamalicao Primeira Liga1591
- 12 SepLAlverca Primeira Liga1615
- 5 SepLSporting CP Primeira Liga1635
- 30 AugLEstrela Primeira Liga1670
Academico Viseu
7th in Primeira Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 10 OctWEstoril Primeira Liga1701
- 20 SepWEstrela Primeira Liga1665
- 12 SepWVitória SC Primeira Liga1623
- 6 SepWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga1653
- 29 AugLFC Porto Primeira Liga1616
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 4 /8 | 28.3 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 18th |
| Academico Viseu | 14 /8 | 43.4 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nacional: direct (how Alexandre Santos plays) · Academico Viseu: balanced profile (how Bruno Pinheiro plays)