Primera División · Apertura - 25
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Nacional Potosí host Real Potosí on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nacional Potosí 40%, draw 29%, Real Potosí 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nacional Potosí €191K, Real Potosí €149K.
- Home advantage makes Nacional Potosí the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Real Potosí are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nacional Potosí goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Nacional Potosí 1398 · Real Potosí 1411
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nacional Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1436
Real Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1427
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nacional Potosí
9th in Primera División · 28 pts from 22
- 18 OctLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1399
- 11 OctDAurora Bolivia Primera Division1401
- 16 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1432
- 12 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1396
- 7 SepWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1358
Real Potosí
4th in Primera División · 38 pts from 22
- 16 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1368
- 11 OctWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 15 SepWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 12 SepWOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1302
- 5 SepDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1341
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | 28 /22 | 36.1 | 0% | 1% | <1% | 8th |
| Real Potosí | 38 /22 | 46.1 | 0% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –