Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 16
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional Asuncion host Sportivo Trinidense on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nacional Asuncion 49%, draw 27%, Sportivo Trinidense 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nacional Asuncion €382K, Sportivo Trinidense €234K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: S. Rojas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1816).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Division Profesional - Clausura): Nacional Asuncion rank #2 of 12, Sportivo Trinidense #11.
- Nacional Asuncion are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nacional Asuncion goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Nacional Asuncion 1594 · Sportivo Trinidense 1533
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1816
Sportivo Trinidense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1603
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nacional Asuncion
2nd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 29 pts from 15
- 17 OctWClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1600
- 12 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1572
- 6 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1534
- 25 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1567
- 18 SepW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1529
Sportivo Trinidense
4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 27 pts from 15
- 18 OctWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1515
- 10 OctDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1497
- 5 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1499
- 26 SepWCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1483
- 18 SepLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1494
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 29 /15 | 39.9 | 18% | 85% | 0% | 2nd |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 27 /15 | 36.5 | 3% | 48% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nacional Asuncion: balanced profile (how Víctor Eduardo Ceferino Bernay plays) · Sportivo Trinidense: balanced profile (how José Gabriel Arrúa Ovelar plays)