Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 21
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio NU
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional Asuncion host Rubio NU on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nacional Asuncion 61%, draw 23%, Rubio NU 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nacional Asuncion €346K, Rubio NU €228K.
- Rubio NU's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nacional Asuncion goals first.
- 1–012%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 3–07%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Nacional Asuncion 1594 · Rubio NU 1386
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1783
Rubio NU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1475
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nacional Asuncion
4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 32 pts from 19
- 7 NovLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1625
- 3 NovLClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1622
- 31 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1600
- 24 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1628
- 17 OctWClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1603
Rubio NU
10th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 17 pts from 19
- 9 NovDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1396
- 5 NovLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1439
- 30 OctWSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1394
- 23 OctLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1317
- 16 OctLDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1357
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 32 /19 | 36.6 | 0% | 68% | 0% | 4th |
| Rubio NU | 17 /19 | 19.6 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nacional Asuncion: balanced profile (how V. Bernay plays) · Rubio NU: balanced profile (how J. Torrente plays)