Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 18
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional Asuncion host Club Sp. San Lorenzo on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nacional Asuncion 65%, draw 21%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nacional Asuncion €393K, Club Sp. San Lorenzo €127K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: S. Rojas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1816).
- Nacional Asuncion are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nacional Asuncion goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Nacional Asuncion 1593 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1340
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1816
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1347
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nacional Asuncion
3rd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 29 pts from 15
- 17 OctWClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1600
- 12 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1572
- 6 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1534
- 25 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1567
- 18 SepW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1529
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 4 pts from 15
- 18 OctLSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1314
- 10 OctDSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1259
- 3 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1364
- 28 SepDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1370
- 20 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1384
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 29 /15 | 39.9 | 17% | 84% | 0% | 2nd |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 4 /15 | 10.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile