Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
NAC Breda vs Emmen
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda host Emmen on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NAC Breda 34%, draw 29%, Emmen 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NAC Breda €662K, Emmen €387K.
- Eerste Divisie: J. Cooper is the highest-rated forward (1844).
- NAC Breda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Emmen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NAC Breda goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: NAC Breda 1662 · Emmen 1746
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NAC Breda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1744
Emmen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1785
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NAC Breda
6th in Eerste Divisie · 21 pts from 12
- 23 OctDHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1720
- 16 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1718
- 9 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1677
- 3 OctDVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1711
- 26 SepWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1690
Emmen
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 12
- 29 OctWGroningen Netherlands KNVB Beker1701
- 23 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1715
- 17 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1685
- 9 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1658
- 3 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1669
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 21 /12 | 58.2 | 2% | 22% | <1% | 7th |
| Emmen | 25 /12 | 68.6 | 28% | 81% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NAC Breda: balanced profile (how Rick Kruys plays) · Emmen: balanced profile (how M. van Dam plays)